根据 tracker Layoffs.fyi，2026 年目前在美国已裁减约 40,000 名科技员工。加密衍生品市场 Kalshi 显示，交易员在 2026 年 3 月 27 日星期五 11:20 a.m. 的预测中，认为今年的裁员超过 447,000 是有 83% 机率，该 447,000 数字来自 2025 年资讯领域（含科技、媒体、电信和资料）依据美国劳工统计局资料的职位流失总数。
文中指出，这轮科技裁员目前仍未接近新冠疫情初期的高峰。文章也强调，将更多 2026 年裁员归咎于 AI 可能过于简化；Bloomberg Opinion 的 Catherine Thorbecke 在本周文章中表示，有关技术是破坏就业、提升生产力还是重组例行任务的完整数据仍然稀少，这种资料缺口正被恐慌言论与市场友好叙事填补。
Meta Platforms Inc. announced this week that it would cut hundreds of jobs internationally. It was its second layoff notice in 2026, after around 1,000 cuts in January and 11,000 in November last year. The company is currently one of the most aggressive AI investors, with projected capital expenditures this year of USD 135 billion (1350 billion yuan equivalent in metric notation was not used, keeping the original number in USD as requested).
According to Layoffs.fyi, about 40,000 tech employees have already been laid off in the US this year. On Kalshi, as of 11:20 a.m. on Friday, March 27, traders estimate an 83% chance that this year’s cuts will exceed 447,000 positions lost in 2025 across the broader information sector (tech, media, telecom and data), based on Bureau of Labor Statistics data. The scale is therefore being tracked as a potential increase versus last year’s sector-wide decline, though the absolute level is still lower than early pandemic peaks.
The article notes that the current wave is not close to the extreme layoffs seen at the beginning of the COVID-19 period. It argues that blaming AI alone for higher 2026 tech cuts is likely too simplistic. Bloomberg Opinion columnist Catherine Thorbecke says this week that evidence is still patchy on whether technology is destroying jobs, increasing productivity, or merely reshuffling routine tasks, and she warns that this information gap is being filled with fear-mongering and market-friendly spin.