在 2026 年 2 月 27 日美东时间下午 5 点刚过，Donald Trump 政府宣称 Anthropic PBC 这家估值 3,800 亿美元的新创公司是「供应链风险」，并将其列入黑名单；约 8 小时后，美国开始轰炸伊朗。五角大厦与 Anthropic 的分歧集中在后者拒绝其技术被用于大规模国内监控或完全自主武器，而政府主张可将技术用于所有合法目的。

伊朗行动成为 AI 化作战的最大测试：透过 Maven Smart System，美军在开战最初 24 小时内攻击 1,000 个目标，约为 2003 年伊拉克「震撼与敬畏」规模的 2 倍；10 天内累计 5,000 个目标（Centcom）。五角大厦希望把「一天 1,000 个目标」推进到「每小时 1,000 个目标」，并把 AI 直接放入「单向攻击无人机」，使其在无线通讯被切断时仍能导航、定位与致命打击。对外界而言 AI 在伊朗被用到何种程度仍不清楚；同时伊朗官员称空袭已造成逾 1,300 名平民死亡，其中超过 175 人在一所女校遇难，而 Jack Shanahan 警告现阶段把任何 LLM 用于全致命自主武器将是灾难配方。

Project Maven 自 2017 年启动后，Palantir 结合 Amazon、Microsoft、Clarifai 等建成 Maven Smart System；NATO 亦于去年开始使用版本。为因应可能受阻的通讯，国防部自 2022 年起搜集大量太平洋中国舰艇影像以训练演算法；2023 年 Kathleen Hicks 推出 Replicator，目标在 2027 年前可完成「数千」架自主无人机。多项并行计划暴露风险：Whiplash 拟把 600 艘 jet ski 改成机器炸弹艇，且 2024 年 7 月一艘载爆 jet ski 漂至土耳其；2025 年 6 月在 Channel Islands 测试中，一艘使用 L3Harris 系统的无人艇因「fat-finger」误操作意外进入自主模式，遵守 80 公尺（262 英尺）避障规则却导致拖船翻覆，从失控到救援仅 3 分钟。Trump 政府后续将 Replicator 改名 DAWG，并于 2026 年 1 月推出 1 亿美元奖金挑战，要求参赛者在今年夏季前交付从口令到「launch to termination」的群体自主能力。

Just after 5 p.m. Eastern time on Feb. 27, 2026, Donald Trump’s administration declared Anthropic PBC—the $380 billion startup behind Claude—a “supply chain risk” and effectively blacklisted it; about eight hours later, the US began bombing Iran. The rupture centered on Anthropic refusing uses tied to mass domestic surveillance or fully autonomous weapons, while the government argued it could apply the technology for any lawful purpose.

Iran became the biggest test yet for AI-enabled operations: using the Maven Smart System, US forces struck 1,000 targets in the first 24 hours—about 2× the scale of Iraq’s 2003 “shock and awe”—and 5,000 targets within 10 days, according to Centcom. The Pentagon aims to move from “1,000 targets per day” to “1,000 targets per hour,” and to embed AI in “one-way attack drones” so they can navigate, find targets, and kill even when wireless links are cut. How AI was used in Iran remains opaque; meanwhile Iranian officials report more than 1,300 civilian deaths, including over 175 at a girls school, and retired Gen. Jack Shanahan warns that any current-form LLM is a catastrophe recipe for fully lethal autonomous weapons.

Since Project Maven launched in 2017, Palantir—along with Amazon, Microsoft, Clarifai, and others—built Maven Smart System, and NATO began using a version last year. To prepare for degraded communications, the Defense Department has collected vast imagery of Chinese vessels since 2022; in 2023 Kathleen Hicks unveiled Replicator, aiming for “thousands” of autonomous drones completable by 2027. Parallel programs highlight risk: Whiplash sought to weaponize 600 jet skis, and an explosives-laden jet ski surfaced in Turkey in July 2024; in June 2025 Channel Islands tests, a L3Harris-run unmanned boat was accidentally switched into autonomy by a “fat-finger” error, followed an 80-meter (262-foot) standoff rule, yet capsized its towboat, with only three minutes between going rogue and rescue. Trump later rebranded Replicator as DAWG and in Jan. 2026 launched a $100 million prize challenge demanding voice-to-swarm “launch to termination” capabilities delivered by this summer.