据亲近克里姆林宫的消息人士透露，由于和平谈判陷入僵局，俄罗斯正准备升级对乌克兰的军事行动。俄罗斯认为目前西方国家的军事和情报支持等同于北约的攻击，因此考虑加强对基辅及其他乌克兰城市基础设施的常规弹道飞弹攻击，普丁也暗示了升级战争的意图。

随著无人机和飞弹攻击的升级，双方针对炼油厂、物流网路及黑海商业船只的打击不断增加，进一步威胁全球粮食供应。由于美国的外交斡旋未能取得突破，且莫斯科认为先前的让步削弱了其立场，克宫认为除了军事升级之外别无选择。

随著冲突持续加剧，越来越多俄罗斯官员认为普丁最终可能会将使用战术核武作为最后手段。尽管中国和印度等主要伙伴强烈警告反对，且目前尚无准备动用的迹象，但俄罗斯国内主战派的声音正在增加，以避免输掉这场代价高昂的战争。

According to sources close to the Kremlin, Russia is preparing to escalate its military campaign in Ukraine after concluding that peace negotiations have reached an impasse. Viewing Western military and intelligence support as equivalent to attacks by NATO, Russia is considering intensifying conventional ballistic missile strikes on infrastructure in Kyiv and other Ukrainian cities, with Putin hinting at his intent to escalate the war.

As drone and missile strikes escalate, both sides have increasingly targeted oil refineries, logistics networks, and commercial vessels in the Black Sea, further threatening global food supplies. With US diplomatic efforts failing to produce a breakthrough and Moscow believing previous concessions weakened its position, the Kremlin sees few alternatives to military escalation.

Amid the intensifying conflict, a growing number of Russian officials believe Putin could eventually resort to using tactical nuclear weapons as a last option. Although major partners like China and India have strongly warned against it and there are no signs of imminent deployment, hawkish rhetoric within Russia is rising in an effort to avoid losing this costly war.