2025年出现了多项前所未有的事件，并伴随清晰的数值标志。尽管存在关税冲突，中国的贸易顺差仍达到1万亿美元，天主教会选出了首位美国籍教皇，日本产生了首位女性首相，蓝色起源将一支全女性乘组送入太空。特斯拉发布了受限版机器人出租车，而唐纳德·特朗普将攻击范围扩大到美联储的独立性。这些发展使2025年成为政治、经济和技术领域的“首次之年”，并为2026年奠定了高度波动的基准。
进入2026年仅数日，不稳定性仍在持续。新年伊始，美国为逮捕他国总统而进入主权国家，同时还面临人工智能泡沫、新一轮太空竞赛、私人信贷风险上升以及多场持续战争。评论人士认为，2025年的趋势正在加速而非逆转，随着年份更替，系统性风险上升而非回归常态。
彭博观点提出了数十个前瞻性主题，其中许多以具体数字为核心。这包括美联储面临的六大挑战、CEO将遭遇的五项关键考验、经济保持乐观的五个理由、可能定义全年走向的十个意外发展，以及很可能无法兑现的每加仑2美元汽油承诺。其他要点还提到2025年180项环境政策倒退、末日时钟距离午夜仅89秒、世界首位万亿富豪的可能性，以及2026年世界杯对全球品牌的影响。这些指标共同描绘出一个由规模、速度和风险主导结果的2026年。
2025 featured multiple unprecedented events with notable numerical markers. China’s trade surplus reached $1 trillion despite tariffs, the Catholic Church elected its first American pope, Japan chose its first female prime minister, and Blue Origin launched an all-female crew into space. Tesla released a limited robotaxi, while Donald Trump expanded his attacks to include the Federal Reserve’s independence. These developments framed 2025 as a year of political, economic, and technological firsts, setting a volatile baseline for 2026.
Only days into 2026, instability persisted. The year opened with a US incursion into another sovereign state to arrest its president, alongside concerns over an AI bubble, a renewed space race, rising private-credit risks, and multiple ongoing wars. Commentators argue that trends from 2025 are intensifying rather than reversing, suggesting higher systemic risk rather than normalization as the calendar turns.
Bloomberg Opinion outlines dozens of forward-looking themes, many anchored in numbers. These include six major challenges facing the Federal Reserve, five key tests for CEOs, five reasons for economic optimism, ten unexpected developments that could define the year, and a $2 gasoline price promise likely to be broken. Other highlights cite 180 environmental rollbacks in 2025, the Doomsday Clock set at 89 seconds to midnight, the possibility of the world’s first trillionaire, and the 2026 World Cup shaping global brands. Together, these metrics portray 2026 as a year where scale, speed, and risk dominate outcomes.