预测市场正面临全球性的监管挑战。部分国家将其视为博彩，而另一些国家则主张应将其纳入证券或衍生性商品规则进行监管，导致各国的准入标准大相径庭。
预测市场的营运商认为其平台能提供有价值的市场资讯，但批评者则反驳指出，这些平台可能会助长过度投机，并为内线交易创造可乘之机。
The 2026 World Cup is the first tournament since prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket exploded in popularity. While US fans can wager billions of dollars, a growing number of countries are restricting access to these platforms.
Prediction markets are facing global regulatory challenges. Some countries view them as a form of gambling, while others argue they should fall under securities or derivatives rules, leading to inconsistent access worldwide.
Prediction market operators argue their platforms provide valuable information, but critics counter that they can encourage excessive speculation and open opportunities for insider trading.