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自2月28日以来,United States与Israel对Iran的打击已把一场预计持续4至5周、且可能延长至8周的行动,扩大为区域性战争。至3月4日,Iran国内死亡已逾1,000人;Israeli Air Force表示已投射逾5,000枚弹药。Iran其后以数百架无人机与弹道飞弹回击,目标包括Israel、US使馆、军事基地、机场与港口;虽然多数被拦截,仍造成伤亡、建筑受损,并迫使荷莫兹海峡航运停摆。

受冲击国家已超过12个,显示外溢范围广泛。Israel通报至少11人死亡、Tel Aviv逾40栋建筑受损;United Arab Emirates表示已拦截数百次攻击,但Dubai的Burj Al Arab、Palm Jumeirah与两处Amazon Web Services设施仍遭碎片或直接命中。Jordan拦截数十枚飞弹;Kuwait在多波攻击中,甚至有3架US F-15被本国防空系统误击。Azerbaijan、Bahrain、Cyprus、Iraq、Oman、Qatar、Saudi Arabia、Syria与Turkey亦分别通报机场、港口、炼油设施、基地或领土受袭。

经济与外交后果正快速累积。QatarEnergy于3月2日停止液化天然气生产,并于3月3日再扩大至尿素、聚合物、甲醇与铝;Saudi Aramco一座大型炼油厂遭无人机企图攻击;Oman港外至少1艘油轮遇袭。冲突同时引发大规模撤离:Mora Namdar敦促美国公民离境,而US军方提供运输机座位;UK、Ireland、Germany与Italy等10多个国家也宣布撤侨或安排遣返航班。

Since February 28, strikes by the United States and Israel on Iran have expanded a campaign projected to last 4 to 5 weeks, and possibly up to 8 weeks, into a regional war. By March 4, deaths inside Iran had exceeded 1,000, while the Israeli Air Force said it had delivered more than 5,000 munitions. Iran then retaliated with hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles aimed at Israel, US embassies, military bases, airports, and ports; although many were intercepted, the attacks still caused casualties, building damage, and a halt to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

More than 12 countries have been directly affected, showing a wide spillover footprint. Israel reported at least 11 deaths and damage to more than 40 buildings in Tel Aviv; the United Arab Emirates said it had intercepted hundreds of attacks, yet debris or direct hits still struck Dubai’s Burj Al Arab, Palm Jumeirah, and two Amazon Web Services facilities. Jordan intercepted dozens of missiles; in Kuwait, 3 US F-15s were even hit by friendly fire during repeated attack waves. Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Cyprus, Iraq, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Turkey also reported strikes on airports, ports, refineries, bases, or territory.

Economic and diplomatic consequences are mounting quickly. QatarEnergy halted liquefied natural gas production on March 2 and expanded the shutdown on March 3 to urea, polymers, methanol, and aluminum; a major Saudi Aramco refinery faced an attempted drone strike; and at least 1 oil tanker off Oman was attacked. The conflict has also triggered large-scale evacuations: Mora Namdar urged Americans to leave, while the US military offered seats on transport planes; more than a dozen countries, including the UK, Ireland, Germany, and Italy, also announced evacuations or repatriation flights.

2026-03-08 (Sunday) · d0d4955ffae2f892a6cbe26231663ff2cf40fa28