从制造业与就业数据来看，欧洲整体的实体制造表现其实比实施长年贸易限制的美国更具韧性。尽管美国经济规模庞大，但其出口仅占国内生产毛额（GDP）的11%，使其具备较高空间承受拙劣贸易政策的冲击；相对而言，欧盟的出口占GDP高达23%，甚至高于中国的21%，高度外向型的经济体系使欧洲根本无法承受全面贸易战所带来的连锁反应。
法德提案最大的危险在于忽视了欧中贸易的实质结构，欧洲自中国进口的物品中有将近一半属于中间产品与零组件，用于制造最终出口产品。一旦切断这些关键零组件的进口，受创最深的将是欧洲本土的制造产线与企业竞争力，因此欧洲领导人若真正关心就业与长期繁荣，就不应重蹈美国自我伤害的贸易保护覆辙。
Amid rising trade tensions between the European Union and China, France and Germany have proposed empowering Brussels with aggressive trade defense tools, including mechanisms to halt imports from targeted countries unless a majority of member states object. However, this radical strategy echoes the protective trade measures adopted by the United States since the first Trump administration, which largely failed to diminish China's trade prowess while inflating household costs and stifling domestic industrial innovation.
A closer examination of manufacturing output and employment data reveals that Europe has actually demonstrated greater industrial resilience than the United States following years of tariffs. Furthermore, while the US export sector accounts for merely 11% of its GDP, allowing it to better absorb the fallout of protectionist failures, the EU depends on exports for 23% of its GDP—a level surpassing even China's 21%—making European industry far more vulnerable to trade disruptions.
The primary risk of the Franco-German initiative lies in overlooking the composition of bilateral trade, as nearly half of Europe's imports from China consist of intermediate goods and vital components utilized in local manufacturing and subsequent exports. Imposing harsh import bans would jeopardize European production lines and severely harm domestic industries rather than Chinese competitors, underscoring that policymakers should avoid repeating Washington's self-inflicted economic mistakes.