克里米亚半岛实际上已成为不断遭受乌克兰袭击的交战区，这破坏了俄罗斯维持常态表象的努力。6月20日晚，乌克兰无人机袭击了输电线，炸毁了刻赤的一个石油码头，并损坏了一艘货运渡轮，迫使作为主要供应大动脉的至关重要的渡轮往返关闭。因此，供应卡车现在必须依赖一条穿过顿涅茨克、扎波罗热和赫尔松的陆路通道，而这条通道越来越容易受到无人机袭击。随着停电频繁发生，克里米亚省长宣布暂时停止所有加油站的汽油销售，而在无人机成功袭击包括莫斯科附近和西伯利亚的炼油厂之后，燃料配给已蔓延到俄罗斯50%以上的地区。

克里米亚对俄罗斯具有巨大的战略和精神意义，自2014年几乎未流血吞并以来，它一直是其军事行动的桥头堡，也是弗拉基米尔·普京帝国复兴的象征。然而，无休止的袭击削弱了居民对国家保护能力的信心。富裕的克里米亚人越来越多地出售他们的财产以搬迁到更安全的俄罗斯地区，而像占科伊这样寂静的铁路枢纽作为军事集结地而繁荣起来，尽管它们成为了频繁袭击的目标，包括最近一次造成住宅楼内五名平民死亡的无人机袭击。虽然这些袭击损害了对军事防御的信任，但它们并没有削弱民众对俄罗斯的官方效忠，部分原因是害怕乌克兰的报复以及起诉叛国罪嫌疑人的激进的俄罗斯反间谍运动。

对冲突的沮丧情绪也在俄罗斯统治精英和普通民众中升级，这是由于人们意识到在顿巴斯快速推进的春季承诺已经落空。互联网封锁和主要城市显而易见的炼油厂袭击迫使普通公民直接面对战争的后果。国家运行的民调机构最近的调查显示普京的支持率下降，执政的统一俄罗斯党在5月下旬进行的秘密焦点小组表明，大多数参与者希望立即结束战斗。普京面临的主要挑战不是经济压力或伤亡增加，而是缺乏进展和表现出软弱，这在历史上削弱了俄罗斯领导人的合法性，因为公民和精英都表达了深度的疲惫以及对和平的简单渴望。

The Crimean peninsula has effectively become a war zone under constant Ukrainian attack, undermining Russia's efforts to maintain a façade of normality. On the night of June 20th, Ukrainian drones struck power lines, destroyed an oil terminal in Kerch, and damaged a cargo ferry, forcing the closure of vital ferry crossings that serve as primary supply arteries. Consequently, supply trucks must now rely on a land corridor through Donetsk, Zaporizhia, and Kherson, which is increasingly vulnerable to drone strikes. With frequent blackouts occurring, the governor of Crimea announced a temporary halt to petrol sales at all stations, while fuel rationing has spread to more than 50% of Russia's regions following successful drone strikes on refineries, including those near Moscow and in Siberia.

Crimea holds massive strategic and spiritual significance for Russia, serving as the bridgehead for its military campaign and symbolizing Vladimir Putin’s imperial resurgence since its nearly bloodless annexation in 2014. However, the relentless attacks have eroded residents' confidence in the state's protective capacity. Wealthy Crimeans are increasingly selling their properties to relocate to safer Russian regions, while sleepy railway hubs like Dzhankoi have boomed as military staging points despite becoming frequent targets, including a recent drone strike that killed five civilians in a residential building. Although the attacks have damaged trust in military defense, they have not weakened the population's official allegiance to Russia, partly due to fears of Ukrainian retribution and aggressive Russian counter-espionage campaigns that prosecute suspects for treason.

Frustration with the conflict is also escalating across Russia's ruling elite and general population, driven by the realization that promises of rapid spring advances in Donbas have failed. Internet blockages and visible refinery strikes in major cities have forced ordinary citizens to confront the war's consequences directly. Recent surveys by the state-run pollster reveal a decline in Putin’s popularity, and secret focus groups conducted in late May by the ruling United Russia party indicated that most participants desired an immediate end to the fighting. The primary challenge for Putin is not economic strain or rising casualties, but the perceived lack of progress and weakness, which historically undermines leadership legitimacy in Russia as citizens and elites alike express deep exhaustion and a simple desire for peace.

Source: Russia’s Crimean conquest is turning into a deadly mess

Subtitle: Ukrainian drones have made the resort region a battlezone

Dateline: 6月 25, 2026 04:19 上午 | Feodosia, Sevastopol and Yalta