随著该地区主要经济体成长预计将放缓,财务压力已逐渐浮现。部分外籍移工不得不动用个人储蓄以维持原先的汇款水平,如果冲突持续下去,可能会导致全球汇款总量急剧崩塌,进而严重打击依赖这些收入的低收入和中等收入国家。
自2022年以来,汇往低收入和中等收入国家的全球汇款总额已超过外人直接投资(FDI)和官方发展援助。海湾国家作为全球汇款的重要来源地,其局势动荡对肯亚、菲律宾和尼泊尔等国家的移工就业与资金回流造成了极大挑战。
The conflict in the Middle East has put billions of dollars in remittances at risk for approximately 30 million foreign migrant workers in the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. For instance, Steve Geoffrey, a Qatari-based migrant worker from Kenya, sends home funds monthly that are nearly twice the average Kenyan earnings, which is crucial for supporting his family and covering education and unexpected expenses. (Key numbers: 3000)
As economic growth in the region's major economies is expected to slow down, clear signs of financial strain are emerging. Some migrant workers are drawing on their savings to maintain their previous remittance levels, which could lead to a sharp collapse in the total volume of remittances if the regional conflict persists, heavily impacting developing countries.
Since 2022, global remittances to low- and middle-income nations have surpassed foreign direct investment (FDI) and official development aid. With the Gulf nations serving as a major source of outbound funds, the ongoing instability presents significant challenges to migrant employment and the flow of capital back to countries such as Kenya, the Philippines, and Nepal.