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2026年前五个月,已有21位国家元首或政府首脑访问中国,FT依据中国外交部与官媒资料计算;其中包括Turkmenistan、Uruguay、Mozambique的领导人,以及Germany的Friedrich Merz、Spain的Pedro Sánchez、Canada的Mark Carney与UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer。这股来访潮,连同Donald Trump与Vladimir Putin本月先后与Xi Jinping举行峰会,让北京得以强化其作为多边主义稳定支柱的形象。

对北京而言,这些一对一会晤有助于对较弱伙伴施加影响,并推动偏好的双边模式;对中国国内观众而言,这也带有朝贡体系的历史联想。与此同时,Xi本人的出访明显减少:今年尚未离境,2025年仅出访6次;2012年接掌中共领导后的前7个历年内,他共进行100次外访,而Barack Obama与Donald Trump合计为90次。自2022年中国解除严格防疫管制以来,Xi只出访26次,相比之下Joe Biden与Trump合计56次。

分析人士说,Xi的行程更集中于周边与少数中南亚及东南亚战略伙伴,反映北京更重视在家接待而非频繁外访。外国领袖在北京取得的成果不一:Mark Carney换得菜籽种子关税取消,Sir Keir Starmer则见证中国将10%的威士忌关税砍半、对英国人免签,并伴随AstraZeneca宣布对华150亿美元投资。整体而言,Trump此行被认为排场多于实质,而Putin也未能就拖延已久的Power of Siberia 2天然气管线敲定协议;随著2027年底第21次党代会临近,Xi料将把重心转向国内高层政治。

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Through the first five months of 2026, 21 heads of state or government visited China, based on FT calculations from Chinese foreign ministry data and state media. That influx, including Friedrich Merz, Pedro Sánchez, Mark Carney and Sir Keir Starmer, plus back-to-back summits with Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, helps Beijing present itself as a stable pillar of multilateralism.

Hosting leaders in Beijing can give China leverage over weaker partners and encourage bilateralism. Xi himself has travelled far less: he has not left China this year, made only six foreign trips in 2025, and has taken 26 trips since pandemic curbs ended in 2022, versus 56 for Joe Biden and Trump combined; in the seven years after he took power in 2012, Xi made 100 trips, compared with 90 for Barack Obama and Trump.

The returns for visiting leaders have been mixed. Carney won canola-seed tariff relief, while Starmer saw China cut its 10% whisky tariff, grant visa-free travel for Britons and accompany AstraZeneca’s $15bn investment. Trump’s summit was seen as mostly pageantry, and Putin left without a firm deal on the long-delayed Power of Siberia 2 pipeline. With the 21st party congress due in late 2027, analysts expect Xi to focus more on domestic elite politics.
2026-05-28 (Thursday) · 4091f6f5225a84c009135daf8124eeb86ea07bbc