距今将近100年,汤博在发现冥王星后,直到1992年才出现下一个「行星级」新发现,但那颗不在太阳系,而是在其他恒星周围运行的系外行星。此后天文学家已编目超过6,000颗系外行星,例如距离约725光年的Kepler-10 b。即使最近的系外行星也在4光年以上(约36兆英里),几乎不可能亲访,但它们关系到「宇宙中是否只有我们」这个问题。
直接用望远镜「看见」系外行星很难,关键在角分辨率与亮度对比。哈伯的分辨率约0.05角秒,约等于1/72,000度;理想情况下它能在约5900亿公里处分辨出木星大小的目标,这只相当于0.06光年,远小于最近恒星比邻星的4.25光年。再加上行星反射光远弱于恒星直射光,淹没在星光中。
因此主力方法改为「看恒星的反应」:其一是径向速度/多普勒法,利用光谱蓝移与红移测出恒星因行星引力而「抖动」的速度与周期,但因光速约3×10^8 m/s,位移讯号通常极小,需多年监测。其二是凌日法,行星遮挡使亮度出现小幅、可重复的下降;作为对照,日全食可让地面光照约降低1,000倍。方法也有选择偏差:更容易找到近星的大行星(热木星);类地行星往往至少要3年才能累积3次凌日,而冥王星类的250年轨道几乎无法侦测。已知6,000颗中除1颗外都在银河系;在「数兆」其他星系背景下,粗估全宇宙行星总量约100 sextillion(10^23)。
Nearly 100 years after Pluto’s discovery, the next “new planet” milestone arrived in 1992—not in our solar system but around another star. Since then, astronomers have cataloged 6,000+ exoplanets, including Kepler-10 b at about 725 light-years. Even the nearest exoplanets are >4 light-years away (~36 trillion miles), so the payoff is not travel but statistics: how common are potentially Earth-like worlds?
Direct imaging is constrained by resolution and glare. Hubble’s resolving power is ~0.05 arcsecond (~1/72,000 of a degree); in principle it could separate a Jupiter-sized planet at ~590 billion km, only ~0.06 light-year—far short of Proxima Centauri at 4.25 light-years. Planets are also intrinsically dim next to their stars, like trying to see Jupiter in daytime against the Sun.
So the dominant techniques measure stellar effects. Radial-velocity (Doppler) searches track tiny blue/red shifts as a star “wobbles”; because c≈3×10^8 m/s, the fractional shifts are small and often require years of data to infer a planet’s period, mass (with a stellar-mass estimate), and orbital scale. Transit searches look for repeatable dips in a light curve; for scale, a total solar eclipse can cut light by ~1,000×, while exoplanet dips are much smaller but measurable. Both methods are alignment-limited and biased toward big, close-in planets (“hot Jupiters”): an Earth analog may need ~3 years to catch 3 transits, and a Pluto analog with a ~250-year orbit is effectively out of reach. With ~6,000 found (all but one in the Milky Way) amid “trillions” of other galaxies, a back-of-the-envelope guess puts the true total near 100 sextillion (10^23) planets.