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人工智慧正日益辅助外交工作,正如新加坡外交部长 Vivian Balakrishnan 使用名为 NanoClaw 的开源技术构建了一个外交「第二大脑」来整理会议记录和演讲。尽管技术无法取代问责制或人类的理解,但全球各国政府正采用人工智慧来因应复杂性。例如,美国国务院使用人工智慧进行文件翻译和摘要,而联合国则于 2020 年底在利比亚和平进程中使用名为 Remesh 的平台分析了数千名公民的意见。此外,世界银行利用人工智慧预测从南苏丹和刚果民主共和国流入乌干达的难民潮,使政府和援助机构有更多时间准备基本服务。

尽管人工智慧具有前景,但它在数据品质、骇客攻击和操纵方面也存在显著风险。这项技术对新加坡的影响尤为严重,因为新加坡是受人工智慧影响最深的经济体之一。根据 Bloomberg Economics 的估计,新加坡大约有 40% 的就业可能会受到该技术的影响,这一比例位居全球之冠。相比之下,瑞典和英国紧随其后,约为 30%,而美国则为 26%。然而,暴露并不等同于立即被取代。在新加坡,仅有 17% 的人认为劳工不太可能从人工智慧中受益,这与德国 46% 的悲观比例形成鲜明对比。

在民众乐观态度的支持下,新加坡政府积极推进其人工智慧雄心。新加坡已与 OpenAI 和 Anthropic 签署协议,并与南韩建立了一个由 3 亿美元($300 million)资金支持的联合人工智慧联盟,且计划于 2026 年底前在公共部门部署人工智慧代理。然而,快速推进也伴随著风险。年轻的外交官仍需要花费时间学习语言、理解文化并累积经验,以培养人类的同理心与局势判断力。这些特质依然无法被取代,因为没有任何人工智慧驱动的第二大脑能够观察会议室的气氛或捕捉决定和平协议成败的微妙信号。

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Diplomacy is increasingly aided by artificial intelligence, as seen in Singapore where the foreign minister Vivian Balakrishnan built a diplomatic second brain using NanoClaw to organize transcripts and speeches. While technology cannot replace accountability or human understanding, global governments are adopting AI to manage complexity. For instance, the US State Department uses AI for translation and summarization, while the United Nations used the Remesh platform in Libya in late 2020 to analyze the views of thousands of citizens during the peace process. Additionally, the World Bank uses AI to predict refugee flows from South Sudan and the Democratic Republic of Congo into Uganda, allowing authorities time to prepare essential services.

Despite its benefits, AI poses significant risks regarding data quality, hacking, and manipulation. This technology particularly impacts Singapore, which is one of the most AI-exposed economies. Bloomberg Economics estimates that approximately 40% of Singapore's employment could be affected by AI, representing the highest share globally. In comparison, Sweden and the UK follow at around 30%, while the US stands at 26%. However, exposure does not equate to immediate job replacement. In Singapore, only 17% of citizens believe workers are unlikely to benefit from AI, a stark contrast to the 46% of pessimistic respondents in Germany.

Supported by public optimism, Singapore's government has advanced its AI initiatives. It has established agreements with OpenAI and Anthropic, launched a $300 million (approximately 300 million USD) joint AI alliance with South Korea, and planned the deployment of AI agents across the public sector by late 2026. Nevertheless, rapid adoption carries risks. Junior diplomats still require years of training, language learning, and cultural exposure to develop human empathy and situational judgment. These qualities remain irreplaceable, as no AI second brain can read a room or decipher the subtle signals critical to securing peace agreements.
2026-06-08 (Monday) · 6ca5bb6ca87fd2d3ead9191a7c6a46df40e04b06