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挪威与英国在历史、地理及资源上面临相似的条件,但两国在经济体制上采取了截然不同的道路。相较于英国优先私有化的新自由主义模式,挪威选择保留强大的国家资本主义与社会福利体系,不仅在医疗与教育上给予高额补助,更维持了极高的国民生产毛额与幸福感。

两国最显著的差异在于对北海石油资源的处理方式。挪威将石油视为全民所有的跨世代资源,成立国营企业、课征高额税率,并建立了全球最大的主权财富基金以稳定国内经济;相反地,英国将石油产业完全私有化,并将早期收入用于日常预算及减税,导致如今面临缺乏基金且需依赖石油进口的困境。

挪威模式为英国新政府提供了三项关键启示:第一,国家资本主义在良好管理下能创造长期国家财富;第二,在气候变迁的转型期中,维持本土石油开采比依赖威权国家进口更为务实;第三,经济成功的核心在于不偏执于单一意识形态的务实主义,以及跨越党派的政策延续性。

Norway and the United Kingdom share similar historical, geographical, and resource conditions, yet they have chosen vastly different economic paths. In contrast to the UK's privatization-first neoliberal model, Norway has retained a strong system of state capitalism and a generous welfare state, heavily subsidizing healthcare and education while maintaining higher GDP per capita and happiness rankings.

The most striking contrast between the two models lies in their management of North Sea oil resources. Norway treated oil as a collective, intergenerational resource by establishing a state-owned company, taxing profits heavily, and channeling funds into the world's largest sovereign wealth fund; conversely, the UK privatized the sector and spent revenues on immediate tax cuts, leaving it with no wealth fund and a dependence on imported energy.

The Norwegian experience offers three key lessons for the UK's new government: first, well-managed state capitalism can generate long-term national wealth; second, continuing domestic oil drilling during the green transition is more pragmatic than importing energy from authoritarian regimes; and third, economic success depends on pragmatism over rigid ideology, along with policy continuity that spans decades.

2026-07-12 (Sunday) · 1964bdcbb93e5948284342fc3bef78209cbe2d5d