唐纳德·特朗普Donald Trump 的总统任期已进入第六年，从返任初期的报复性与混乱式轰动，转向更艰涩的实际治理。文中指出，随著问题累积与影响力下滑，他的支持率连同消费者情绪同步走弱；而其近期关注重点——未经国会授权的委内瑞拉军事介入，以及对冰岛？（文义上应为冰岛附近的Greenland）接管的再度威胁——并未获得广泛欢心。共和党多数仍偏向顺从或保持沉默，民主党则对2026年中期选举出现更高的突破预期，形成权力格局上的可见转向。

特朗普政权最耐人关注的特征是行使并扩张行政权。第一年与进入第二年的治理中，总统府核心人事大多保留，且多名幕僚以“可直接执行、几乎不作抗拒”作为常态；一位匿名幕僚形容其核心团队愿意“只要能做就做”。特朗普推动跨机关命令，要求联邦机构遵循白宫法理解读而非独立判断，并在司法、内政与移民等领域反复压缩既有制度缓冲。司法权威也被政治化运用：司法部对批评者展开薄弱诉讼、对联邦准备制度（Federal Reserve）下发传票，凸显独立性受损。

国会名义上仍可回收权力，但目前参议院与众议院的共和党多数大都对总统行动采取顺从。除非回归错位权力下的分权平衡，否则短期（至少过去一年＋）主要博弈将落在法院。最高法院在教育部重整与移民议题上先例性地支持行政做法，并有多个关键案待决：与超过1,000间企业申请退税的关税争议、是否可单方解雇行政官员、是否可削弱部分移民出生地主权（birthright citizenship）规定、以及是否可罢免联准会总裁Lisa Cook等。司法结果不只影响本届，也可能让未来任何总统都更倾向以“可越权即越权”的方式理解行政权。

Donald Trump's presidency has entered its sixth year, and the piece describes a shift from return-era chaos and vengeance to the slower grind of governance. Public support appears weaker: both his approval ratings and consumer sentiment are down, while controversial priorities such as the unapproved Venezuela military action and renewed talk of taking over Greenland are not popular. Republicans stay mostly supportive or quiet, while Democrats grow more optimistic about breakthroughs in the 2026 midterms, suggesting a likely political inflection point is approaching despite continued partisan asymmetry.

A core argument is that this administration is redefining the executive branch by force. In his first year and into year two, Trump kept most of his original cabinet and pursued a loyalty-first structure; aides described a culture of “do it today” compliance rather than constitutional restraint. An executive order requires agencies to align with the White House legal position, narrowing independent judgment. The same method appears in the Justice Department’s aggressive use of legal tools, including subpoenas to the Federal Reserve and prosecutions aimed at critics, which many observers treat as a major erosion of DOJ independence.

Congress could theoretically reassert limits, yet GOP majorities have been largely deferential, so the likely guardrail is the courts. The Supreme Court has already backed key White House positions in temporary rulings on education and immigration, and upcoming cases may decide on tariffs affecting 1,000 firms seeking refunds, dismissal authority over executive officers, partial rollback of birthright citizenship, and the ouster of Fed Governor Lisa Cook. If those precedents hold, critics argue they lower constitutional barriers not only for Trump but for future presidents of either party, while Democrats face the dilemma of whether to preserve or dismantle this expanded model before 2028.