美国周日通报其第七名伤亡者;同时有2名以色列军人和约12名以色列平民阵亡。报道称伊朗死亡人数已超过1,300人,黎巴嫩死亡486人,阿联酋有4名平民和2名军人在一次直升机事故中死亡,海湾其他国家亦有额外伤亡。阿联酋数据显示其遭受的导弹与无人机弹幕降至战争初期以来最低频率,但伊朗仍持续对以色列及阿拉伯海湾国家进行常规攻击。北约本周截获第二枚向土耳其发射的伊朗弹道导弹,持续抬高冲突外溢风险。
霍尔木兹海峡的扰动已迫使沙特阿拉伯、阿联酋、科威特和伊拉克减产。Donald Trump同时威胁称,如伊朗封锁油轮,其后果将是“更坚决地打击二十倍”,并表示在德黑兰“被彻底且决定性击败”前不停止行动。七国集团表示已准备支持全球供应,包括可能释放战略储备,但法国称尚未就协调释放达成一致。伊朗领导层更迭并未降低不确定性:56岁的Mojtaba Khamenei在“专家议会”中获胜,与伊斯兰革命卫队关系密切,且被广泛认为可能延续现有战争路线。沙特警告伊朗有可能成为“最大输家”,美国同时要求撤离美国在沙特的非必需外交人员。
On March 10, 2026, Donald Trump said in Doral, Florida, that he was prepared to waive selected oil-related sanctions and place US naval escorts in the Strait of Hormuz, saying the Iran war could end very soon but not this week. He warned that Iran would face much, much harder bombing if it disrupted oil flows, while also saying the US had struck 5,000 targets, reduced Iranian missile capability to 10%, cut Iranian drone launches by 83%, and nearly completed military objectives. To cool energy inflation pressure ahead of the November midterms, he is weighing options including releasing emergency stockpiles, pausing federal gasoline tax collection, and Treasury intervention in oil futures. Markets repriced immediately: the S&P 500 rose about 1%, and US oil futures fell below $90 per barrel (about 566 USD per cubic metre; 1 barrel = 0.159 m³) after trading above $119 per barrel (about 748 USD per cubic metre).
The US reported its seventh casualty on Sunday, alongside two Israeli soldiers and roughly twelve Israeli civilians. Reported war deaths include more than 1,300 Iranians, 486 Lebanese, four UAE civilians, and two UAE servicemen killed in a helicopter crash, plus further casualties in other Gulf states. UAE data showed Iran-linked missile-and-drone barrages easing to the lowest frequency since the war began, but Iran still continued regular attacks on Israel and Arab Gulf states. NATO intercepted a second Iranian ballistic missile heading toward Turkey, raising the risk of broader escalation.
The Strait of Hormuz disruption has already pushed Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq to cut production. Trump also warned that if Iran blocked tankers it would be hit “TWENTY TIMES HARDER,” and said the US would not relent until Tehran is “totally and decisively defeated.” The G7 said it was ready to support global energy supply, including possible strategic stockpile release, but France said it was not yet ready for a coordinated release. The Iranian leadership shift did not reduce uncertainty: 56-year-old Mojtaba Khamenei won a decisive vote in the Assembly of Experts, is closely linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, and is expected to continue current war policy. Saudi Arabia warned Tehran could become the biggest loser, and the US simultaneously ordered non-essential American diplomats out of Saudi Arabia.