特朗普在周二通过 Truth Social 向伊朗示威者表示“HELP IS ON ITS WAY”，并呼吁他们“KEEP PROTESTING — TAKE OVER YOUR INSTITUTIONS”，同时称已取消与伊朗官员的“所有会谈”，直到停止杀害抗议者。抗议活动在 12 月下旬因经济失稳而爆发，西方官员认为美方正加紧为可能的打击做准备；特朗普还表示盟友“应该撤离”。白宫称周二由副总统 JD Vance 主持、国务卿 Marco Rubio 与国防部长 Pete Hegseth 等参加了涉伊选项会议，特朗普未出席。
暴力规模以区间形式呈现：境外维权组织估计死亡人数“从数百到数千”，并称更多人被拘押。伊朗方面的可核对数字包括：警方称过去几天逮捕 297 人，理由与毁坏公共财产相关；革命卫队关联媒体 Tasnim 还称多人因纵火焚烧清真寺与杀害安全人员而被捕。信息环境呈“封锁后部分恢复”的趋势：政府在上周抗议升级时实施互联网断网，周二出现有限通信恢复、部分人可拨打海外电话，但打入伊朗的电话仍不通。
经济与外部施压指标同步上行。特朗普周一宣布对“与伊朗做生意”的国家征收 25% 关税；白宫随后称空袭属于“many, many options”之一。市场反应方面，布伦特原油周二在伦敦午后交易上涨 3% 至每桶 65.79 美元，突破 65 美元关口，为 11 月以来首次。为应对断网，特朗普称正研究帮助伊朗恢复上网，并与 Elon Musk 讨论 Starlink；一名美国组织负责人称自周二起伊朗的 Starlink 设备可在无需订阅费的情况下连接。
Trump said on Tuesday on Truth Social that “HELP IS ON ITS WAY” for Iranian protesters and urged them to “KEEP PROTESTING — TAKE OVER YOUR INSTITUTIONS,” while saying he had canceled “all meetings” with Iranian officials until killings stop. The protests began in late December over economic instability, and Western officials believe the US is stepping up preparations for a possible strike; Trump also said allies “should get out.” The White House said a Tuesday options meeting was chaired by Vice President JD Vance and included Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth; Trump did not attend.
Violence metrics are framed as ranges: activist groups outside Iran estimate deaths from “hundreds to thousands,” with many more detained. Iran’s checkable figures include police saying 297 people were arrested over the past few days for destroying public property; Revolutionary Guards–affiliated Tasnim also reported arrests tied to setting fire to mosques and killing security forces. The information environment shows a “blackout then partial resumption” pattern: an internet shutdown imposed when protests escalated last week began easing Tuesday, with limited overseas calls possible, while calls into Iran still failed.
Economic and pressure signals moved higher in parallel. Trump announced a 25% tariff Monday on countries “doing business with Iran,” and the White House said air strikes were among “many, many options.” Markets reacted as Brent crude rose 3% in Tuesday afternoon London trading to $65.79 a barrel, breaching $65 for the first time since November. On connectivity, Trump said the US is looking at ways to restore internet access and discussed Starlink with Elon Musk; a US group’s executive director said Starlink devices in Iran can connect without subscription fees starting Tuesday.