1984年汤姆·克兰西的小说《追猎红色十月》（及其后来的邪典电影）描绘了俄军潜艇试图穿越格陵兰—冰岛—英国（GIUK）缺口进入北大西洋、而北约力量负责追猎的猫鼠博弈。如今英国处境更难：皇家海军攻击潜艇与护卫舰数量严重短缺，而最新的俄军潜艇更安静。

英国的“大西洋堡垒”计划试图用“AI驱动的声学探测技术”把有人舰艇与飞机连接到水下传感器和无人自主载具，以在海洋噪声中筛出俄军潜艇信号，并由承包商运营传感器网络（含利用浮力长距离航行的无动力滑翔机），形成一种“潜艇追猎即服务”。但RUSI指出两项关键限制：俄罗斯可在战前将潜艇突进通过GIUK这一咽喉点，而AI声学在可学习“常态声纹”的局部受限海域最有效、难以覆盖整个大西洋，且在百慕大以东的马尾藻海这类冷热水混合区更难稳定判别。

更隐蔽的路径是从格陵兰以北厚冰下方通过以绕开布满传感器的咽喉点；俄罗斯已在演练，而除美国外的北约已生疏，皇家海军上一次公开的冰下演习是在8年前。其目标是迫使美国将潜艇与舰艇从俄近岸调离；RUSI建议英国把更多火力前推到俄罗斯家门口以牵制俄潜艇回到东北方向，而英国战舰目前“完全无法”发射巡航导弹（即发射能力为0），因此“Atlantic Strike”预计将包含可携导弹的无人艇。

Tom Clancy’s 1984 novel The Hunt for Red October (and its later cult film) portrays a cat-and-mouse contest as Russian submarines try to break through the Greenland–Iceland–UK (GIUK) gap into the North Atlantic while NATO hunts them. For Britain the trend is worsening: the Royal Navy is desperately short of attack submarines and frigates, and the newest Russian boats are quieter.

Britain’s Atlantic Bastion programme aims to link crewed ships and aircraft with underwater sensors and uncrewed autonomous vessels via “AI-powered acoustic detection technology” to sift ocean noise for submarine signatures, with a contractor-run sensor network (including unpowered buoyancy-driven gliders) acting like sub-hunting-as-a-service. RUSI flags two constraints: Russia could surge submarines through the GIUK choke point before war, and AI acoustics work best in confined areas with a learnable “normal” sound baseline rather than across the whole Atlantic—especially in places like the Sargasso Sea east of Bermuda where warm–cold water mixes distort propagation.

A stealthier route is under thick ice north of Greenland, bypassing sensor-laden choke points; Russia has been practising this, while NATO (apart from America) is rusty and the Royal Navy’s last public under-ice exercise was eight years ago. To force US diversions, RUSI argues Britain should add more forward firepower near Russia, but British warships currently have zero cruise-missile launch capability, so the vague “Atlantic Strike” concept is expected to feature missile-armed drone boats.

Source: Britain’s high-tech hunt for Russian subs in the North Atlantic

Subtitle: The cat-and-mouse game increasingly involves drones and AI

Dateline: 1月 15, 2026 05:52 上午