Ferdinand Marcos Jr. 表示，若台海爆发冲突，菲律宾几乎无可避免会被卷入，原因是台湾地理上太近，而且约有 200,000 名菲律宾人正在台湾生活与工作。这番话是在他赴日本进行国是访问前提出；他将与 Sanae Takaichi 讨论安全合作。Marcos 同时重申菲律宾会维持「One China」政策，但也指出依地图来看，菲律宾北部至少会受到直接影响。
文章指出，台湾对亚洲地缘政治与经济都至关重要，特别是其在高阶半导体中的主导地位；美国虽不支持台湾独立，但反对单方面改变现状，并长期向台北出售武器以吓阻攻击。Xi Jinping 上周在北京罕见强硬地警告 Donald Trump，若处理不当台湾议题可能导致冲突；而 Trump 又把一笔 pending 的 14 billion 美元军售称作对北京的「very good negotiating chip」，并说台湾若走向独立将引发「very strong confrontation」。
北京随即回应，Guo Jiakun 表示希望菲律宾言行一致、以具体行动遵守 One China 原则，并强调大量菲律宾人与地理接近不能成为干涉他国内政与主权事务的借口。Marcos 先前也曾因类似言论激怒北京；与此同时，菲律宾正成为美国在区域内遏制中国行动的前线，已接收美国飞弹系统并扩大美军基地使用权，包括靠近台湾的基地，但 Marcos 强调这些基地不得用于进攻行动。
Ferdinand Marcos Jr. said the Philippines would almost certainly be drawn into any Taiwan conflict because of its proximity and the roughly 200,000 Filipino nationals living and working in Taiwan. He made the remarks before a state visit to Japan, where he is due to meet Sanae Takaichi on security cooperation. He also reiterated support for the One China policy while saying northern Philippines would at least feel the effects of any confrontation.
The article says Taiwan remains geopolitically and economically central because it leads the world in high-end semiconductors. The United States does not back Taiwanese independence, but it opposes unilateral changes to the status quo and has long supplied arms to deter aggression. Xi Jinping recently warned Donald Trump in unusually stark terms that mishandling Taiwan could lead to clashes, while Trump called a pending $14 billion arms sale a “very good negotiating chip” and said independence would be a “very strong confrontation.”
Beijing responded that the Philippines should match its words with concrete action and honor the One China principle, with Guo Jiakun rejecting geography and large Filipino populations as excuses to interfere in another state’s sovereignty. Marcos has previously angered China with similar warnings, and the Philippines now sits on the front line of US-led deterrence efforts: it hosts US missile systems and grants access to additional bases, including near Taiwan, though Marcos insists they are for territorial defense, not offensive action.