被纳入纳斯达克100指数及罗素1000指数预计将为SpaceX股价提供强大支撑，因为追踪指数的被动基金将被迫买入并持有其股份。分析师估计，这一举措将带来至少54亿美元的资金流入，有助于平抑股价波动，但也有部分分析师警告其市场估值已脱离基本面。
尽管面临当前亏损，分析师更看好SpaceX在人工智能（AI）和星链（Starlink）领域的长期增长潜力。这种市场乐观情绪与特斯拉IPO初期的谨慎态度形成对比，但也伴随著极大投资风险，分析师给出的目标价从62美元到800美元不等，显示出市场对其估值的巨大分歧。
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) is set to join the Nasdaq 100 Index, attracting widespread attention from Wall Street analysts. Although the company still faces questions regarding profitability and valuation following its blockbuster IPO, multiple major institutions—including Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, and Goldman Sachs—have initiated coverage with buy-equivalent ratings, setting an average price target of $236, significantly higher than its IPO price.
The inclusion of SpaceX in the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 1000 indexes is expected to provide substantial support to its stock price, as index-tracking passive funds will be forced to buy and hold its shares. Analysts estimate this inclusion will drive at least $5.4 billion in inflows, which could help minimize volatility, though some critics warn that the company's valuation remains detached from its fundamentals.
Despite current losses, analysts are looking past short-term financials to focus on SpaceX's long-term growth potential in AI and Starlink services. This optimism contrasts with the skepticism that greeted Tesla's IPO, yet it comes with significant risks as price targets ranging from $62 to $800 highlight the deep divide on Wall Street over the company's true value.