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伊朗外交部长Abbas Araghchi声称安全部队已“全面控制”全国局势,但这一说法尚未得到验证。两周的暴力抗议导致至少540人死亡、超过10,000人被捕,抗议范围覆盖31个省的186个城市,多数严重示威发生在夜间。周一白天,官方电视台播放多地“支持政府、反恐怖主义”集会画面;同时社交媒体出现葬礼上高喊“打倒Khamenei”的视频。自12月28日货币暴跌引发抗议以来,这是1979年伊斯兰革命后对政权最大规模挑战。政府指控抗议者使用“Daesh式暴力”袭击警察和平民,称美以干预在幕后操纵。

在President Donald Trump威胁可能干预后,Araghchi与美国中东特使Steve Witkoff保持沟通。白宫发言人Karoline Leavitt证实伊方以“不同于公开立场的语气”接触美方,Axios称双方探讨会晤意向,意在缓和紧张或争取时间。Trump同时与Elon Musk讨论通过Starlink恢复伊朗受限互联网通信。Araghchi称网络“很快恢复”,但目前全国通讯仍大范围中断,增加外界追踪难度。Tasnim报道安全部队死亡121人,其中Isfahan 30人,德黑兰数字未明。

抗议及镇压已推升能源市场风险,Brent原油周一报约每桶63美元,为近一月高点,上周四至周五累计上涨近6%。Araghchi在国家电视台指控美国和以色列“通过言论煽动暴力”,并称掌握“多项证据”证明外部干涉。美国和盟国密切关注局势发展,白宫官员表示政策选项“正在评估”,同时警告若进一步镇压,外交与经济后果将加剧。

Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi claimed security forces have “full control” of the country, though the statement remains unverified. Two weeks of violent unrest have left at least 540 people dead and over 10,000 arrested, with demonstrations reported in 186 cities across 31 provinces, many erupting at night. State TV aired pro-regime rallies Monday, while social media videos appeared to show funeral crowds shouting “death to Khamenei.” The protests, sparked on December 28 by a currency collapse, mark the largest challenge to the Islamic Republic since 1979. Authorities accused demonstrators of using “Daesh-style violence” and alleged U.S. and Israeli interference.

After President Donald Trump threatened intervention, Araghchi maintained contact with U.S. Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed Iran’s outreach “in a far different tone” from public statements; Axios reported the two discussed a potential meeting aimed at de-escalation or delay. Trump also spoke with Elon Musk about using Starlink to restore Iran’s restricted internet. Araghchi said access would be restored “very soon,” though communications remain largely cut off. Tasnim reported 121 security-force deaths, including 30 in Isfahan, with Tehran figures unconfirmed.

The unrest has heightened energy market fears, with Brent crude trading near $63 a barrel on Monday—its highest in a month—after a 6% rise over Thursday and Friday. Araghchi told state TV that the U.S. and Israel “promoted violence” and were “directly responsible,” citing “evidence of interference.” Washington and allies are closely monitoring developments, with officials saying policy options are under review and warning that further crackdowns could deepen diplomatic and economic fallout.

2026-01-13 (Tuesday) · 1683ee676c50a1f20076ffa68876370d9a2dd810