最新数据表明乌克兰正在加大远程袭击力度，在2022至2024年间共进行了335次深度袭击，仅2025年就达到658次，而今年预计将超过800次。这些袭击一再针对俄罗斯的港口、油库和炼油厂，造成了重大破坏。

研究显示，俄罗斯1月至4月的化石燃料出口收入同比下降了4.6%，模型估计2025年6月至12月期间的收入为180亿美元，比预期低12%。在2026年前四个月，这些收入骤降至比预测水平低34%的程度。

尽管卢布走强和制裁收紧等因素也在迫使俄罗斯打折销售中发挥了作用，但乌克兰的深度袭击显然让俄罗斯损失了数十亿美元的出口收入。这代表了持续冲突中经济动态的重大转变。

Recent data shows Ukraine is ramping up long-range attacks, with 335 deep strikes occurring from 2022 to 2024, 658 in 2025 alone, and an expected total exceeding 800 this year. These strikes have repeatedly targeted Russian ports, oil depots, and refineries, causing significant disruption.

According to research, Russia's fossil-fuel export revenues fell 4.6% year-on-year from January to April, and model estimates suggest revenues between June and December 2025 were $18 billion, or 12% lower than expected. In the first four months of 2026, these revenues plummeted to 34% below predicted levels.

While factors like a strong rouble and tightening sanctions also play a role in forcing discount sales, Ukrainian deep strikes are clearly costing Russia billions of dollars in export income. This represents a substantial shift in the economic dynamics of the ongoing conflict.

Source: Ukrainian strikes are inflicting pain deep inside Russia 

Subtitle: Our modelling suggests they are doing even more damage than commonly assumed

Dateline: 6月 11, 2026 04:20 上午