自战争开始以来,美国已在伊朗打击了11000多个目标,重创军事单位、国防工业和核设施,但伊朗也通过反击在地区范围内对美国施加了可量化的军事代价。伊朗袭击了美国基地、飞机和导弹预警雷达,美军在海湾多数设施已改在酒店和办公楼值守,而至少13名美国现役军人丧生,其中一些死亡与事故有关,而不仅是战斗直接原因。
2025年3月27日,一架E-3预警机在沙特被摧毁,分析显示其被精确击中在机坪,且该型飞机在美国空军库存中约有16架。报道称多架KC-135加油机受损,一架在空中事故中受损、另一架坠毁致6名机组死亡,科威特误击落了三架F-15,而伊朗还宣称一架F-35在约旦紧急降落并击落了多架MQ-9“死神”无人机。
开源统计并不完整,因为美国通常不公开全部作战损失,且部分卫星影像供应商已限制服务,但伊朗打击似乎已摧毁或损坏了约十套雷达,包括约旦一套射程约3000公里的AN/TPY-2雷达及另一台疑似受损装置,以及一套更强的、射程5000公里的AN/FPS-132相控阵雷达。更换这些装备可能需数亿美元乃至数十亿美元,并耗时多年,这也印证了霍德森研究所蒂姆·沃尔顿的警示:不存在“安全港湾”,若对手是中国等国家,损失可能大幅上升。


Since the war began, the U.S. has struck more than 11,000 targets in Iran, heavily degrading military units, defence-industrial sites and nuclear facilities, but Iran has still imposed a measurable military cost through region-wide retaliation. Iran has hit U.S. bases, aircraft and missile-warning radars, U.S. personnel in Gulf facilities now operate from hotels and office buildings, and at least 13 U.S. service members have died, with some losses from accidents rather than direct combat alone.
An E-3 AWACS was destroyed in Saudi Arabia on March 27, with analysis suggesting a precise taxiway-targeting strike, and around 16 such aircraft exist in the U.S. inventory. Multiple KC-135 tankers reportedly sustained damage, one tanker was hurt in a mid-air incident while another crashed killing six crew, Kuwait accidentally shot down three F-15s, and Iran claims both damage to an F-35 that emergency-landed in Jordan and several MQ-9 Reaper losses.
Open-source loss accounting remains incomplete because the U.S. does not generally confirm all battle losses and some imagery providers have reduced access, but Iranian attacks appear to have destroyed or damaged roughly ten radar systems, including an AN/TPY-2 in Jordan (about 3,000km range) and possibly another, as well as a more capable AN/FPS-132 with 5,000km range tied to THAAD defenses, while the U.S. has only eight such batteries. Replacing these systems could cost hundreds of millions or billions and take years, reinforcing Tim Walton’s warning that there is no sanctuary and that losses could rise much more against peer adversaries such as China.
Source: Iran has damaged a surprising amount of American kit
Subtitle: Losses would be much higher in a war with China
Dateline: 4月 01, 2026 06:14 上午