← 返回 Avalaches

根据 New York Fed 于 2026 年 2 月 10 日(美国时间)发布的报告,美国家庭债务压力在 2025 年 Q4 恶化;房贷、信用卡、汽车贷款及其他家庭信贷的总逾期率升至未偿债务的 4.8%,为 2017 年以来最高。虽然整体逾期率仍接近疫情前常态,但分布愈发不均,恶化最明显的是低收入借款人与较年轻家庭,显示消费者经济进一步分化。

报告显示,家庭债务余额季增 1% 至 $18.8 trillion;同时关键分项的严重压力加剧:信用卡 90+ 天逾期比例达 12.7%,为 2011 年 Q1 以来最高,汽车贷款严重逾期升至 5.2%,接近 2010 年高点。房贷逾期也上升,且集中在低收入 ZIP codes 与房价下跌地区;此外,疫情期间暂停还款结束后,学生贷款的还款问题加速恶化。

学生贷款是此次跳升的主要推动因素之一,Q4 有 16.3% 的学生贷款债务转为逾期,为自 2004 年开始统计以来最大增幅。年轻劳工市场压力与这些信贷结果一致:12 月 16-24 岁失业率为 10.4%,接近 2021 年以来高位。综合来看,趋势指向债务总量广泛增长但违约风险集中,脆弱性在低收入地区、年轻族群与受房价下跌影响的借款人中最高。

cef5fb54a66e.png



US household debt stress worsened in Q4 2025, with total delinquency across mortgages, credit cards, auto loans, and other household credit rising to 4.8% of outstanding debt, the highest since 2017, according to the New York Fed’s report released on February 10, 2026 (US time). Although aggregate delinquency is still near pre-pandemic norms, the distribution is increasingly uneven, with the sharpest deterioration among low-income borrowers and younger households, signaling a more bifurcated consumer economy.

The report shows household debt balances increased 1% quarter over quarter to $18.8 trillion, while serious stress intensified in key segments: credit-card balances 90+ days delinquent reached 12.7%, the highest since Q1 2011, and auto-loan serious delinquency rose to 5.2%, near the 2010 peak. Mortgage delinquency also increased and was concentrated in lower-income ZIP codes and places with falling home prices, while student-loan repayment problems accelerated after the pandemic-era payment pause ended.

Student loans were a major driver of the jump, with 16.3% of student-loan debt becoming delinquent in Q4, the largest increase in records starting in 2004. Labor-market strain among younger workers aligns with these credit outcomes: unemployment for ages 16-24 was 10.4% in December, near the highest levels since 2021. Taken together, the trend points to broad debt growth but concentrated default risk, with vulnerability highest in lower-income geographies, younger cohorts, and borrowers exposed to housing-price declines.
2026-02-11 (Wednesday) · 1e001a3a6746bb4d96ccc2d1fdbb81d31ff85e0e