在社交媒体上，“伦敦模拟器”等内容把伦敦描绘成充斥刀具暴力的危险之地，一条相关言论在 X 上获得了超过 230 万次浏览，但数据显示伦敦暴力犯罪已多年下降。自 2010 年以来抢劫案年度数量基本持平，期间人口约增加 100 万；2024 年因“锐器袭击”入院人数至少十年来最低；伦敦凶杀率为每 10 万人 1.1 起且为有可比记录以来最低，低于巴黎（1.3）和柏林（3.2），而规模相近的纽约凶杀数几乎是其 3 倍。
《经济学人》抓取了 2020—2025 年间 X 上提及“伦敦”且包含暴力犯罪关键词的全部帖子，去年此类帖子的数量是 2020—2024 年年度平均值的 2 倍，且 2025 年单帖平均点赞与转发数也几乎是 2024 年的 2 倍。自 2023 年以来，同时提及伊斯兰、移民或种族的“伦敦犯罪”帖子的占比翻倍，“Londonistan”相关帖子自 2020 年翻倍；尽管约 20% 的伦敦犯罪帖子来自机器人账号但关注度很低，最有影响力的发帖者似乎主要是英国境内的人类账号，而 X 以互动量向作者付费进一步放大了煽动性内容的产出。
YouGov 的最新民调显示，认为伦敦不安全的英国人占 61%，高于 2014 年的 39%；在 Reform 选民中这一比例升至 85%。只有约三分之一的伦敦人同意“伦敦不安全”，且 81% 表示自己的居住区域安全，显示公众感受与犯罪指标之间存在显著背离。
On social media, “London simulator” content portrays London as a knife-crime hotbed, and one claim drew over 2.3m views on X, but the data point the other way with violent crime falling for years. Robberies have been steady since 2010 even as the population grew by roughly 1m; 2024 hospital admissions for “assault by sharp object” were the lowest in at least a decade; and London’s homicide rate is 1.1 per 100,000—the lowest since comparable records began—below Paris (1.3) and Berlin (3.2), while similarly sized New York has almost three times as many homicides.
The Economist scraped all X posts from 2020–2025 mentioning “London” plus violent-crime keywords, finding that last year the volume was double the 2020–2024 yearly average and that in 2025 average likes and retweets per post were almost double 2024. Since 2023, the share of “London crime” posts that also mention Islam, migrants, or race has doubled and “Londonistan” posts have doubled since 2020; although bots make up about 20% of London-crime posts, they get little attention, with the most influential posters appearing to be Britain-based humans as X pays contributors for engagement.
A YouGov poll finds 61% of Britons now see London as unsafe, up from 39% in 2014, rising to 85% among Reform voters. Only about a third of Londoners agree and 81% say their local area is safe, highlighting a large gap between measured risk and amplified online perception.
Source: London is far safer than violent viral videos will have you believe
Subtitle: Contrary to social-media lore, it is one of the safest cities in the world
Dateline: 1月 29, 2026 04:19 上午