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太平洋目前同时出现卡莉娜、罗威尔和玛丽三个飓风,展现出异常活跃的风暴活动。其中罗威尔一度达到五级强度,虽然减弱至三级,但预计本周末将转向威胁夏威夷的欧胡岛和考艾岛,为刚经历暴雨与洪灾的夏威夷带来新的威胁;卡莉娜正逐渐减弱,而玛丽则在墨西哥外海增强,可能为美墨西南沿海带来强烈海涌。(关键数字:5, 3)

气候科学家指出,这种太平洋风暴活跃而大西洋相对平静的现象,与今年可能创纪录的「超级圣婴现象」高度吻合。美国国家海洋暨大气总署预测今年圣婴现象有高达69%的机率成为史上最强。异常温暖的海面水温就像是风暴的燃料,加上太平洋自去年以来经历的广泛海洋热浪,使得热带气旋更容易形成并加剧其威力。

圣婴现象虽属自然气候模式,但科学界认为人为造成的气候变迁正在加剧其强度与极端天气风险。针对这项趋势,联合国秘书长古特瑞斯警告圣婴现象正被急遽放大,地球已处于极端气候的危险地带,强调国际社会必须采取更积极的气候行动,在升高的环境风险中保障人类安全。

Three hurricanes—Karina, Lowell, and Marie—are actively churning across the Pacific Ocean, demonstrating exceptionally high storm activity. Lowell briefly intensified into a Category 5 storm before weakening to Category 3, and is projected to turn toward Hawaii near Oahu and Kauai this weekend, posing new threats to areas already recovering from severe flooding; meanwhile, Karina continues to weaken, whereas Marie is strengthening off Mexico's coast, threatening southwestern coastal areas with dangerous swells.

Climate scientists explain that this surge in Pacific storms, coupled with a quiet Atlantic basin, is characteristic of a potentially record-breaking 'super El Niño.' NOAA forecasts indicate a 69% likelihood that this event will become the strongest on record. Abnormally warm ocean temperatures serve as additional fuel for tropical cyclones, amplified by an ongoing marine heat wave that has warmed large portions of the Pacific Ocean.

While El Niño is an inherent natural cycle, scientists emphasize that human-induced climate change is worsening its severity and the frequency of extreme weather events. In response to these escalating risks, UN Secretary-General António Guterres cautioned that El Niño is being 'supersized' before our eyes, urging immediate and decisive global climate action to mitigate rising dangers and safeguard vulnerable populations.

2026-09-06 (Sunday) · 4ce40de961da8d611e180308342c18e3a4726d1b