12 月中国航空公司对日航班削减规模急剧扩大：在原定 5,548 班计划中已取消 904 班，占比 16%，较两日前的 268 班取消量增加逾三倍，涉及约 156,000 个座位。取消动作覆盖 72 条航线、13 个日本机场，其中关西机场受冲击最重，单月被削减 626 个抵达航班（南京 80、上海 71、北京 58）。成田与中部机场各被取消 68 班，新千岁 61 班、那霸 26 班，而羽田因需求稳定且起降时刻竞争激烈，仅取消 989 班中的 7 班。

主要执行削减的是中国国有与上海基地航司：中国南方航空取消 118 班、中国东方航空 109 班，而春秋航空与吉祥航空分别削减 182 与 166 班。供需剧变导致票价大幅下跌，例如 12 月关西—上海往返票价从去年约 20,000 日元降至约 8,500 日元。成田机场方面预计，未来每周近 300 班往返中国大陆的航班中可能有 10%–20% 被削减。中国政府此前因日相高市早苗涉台湾言论而发出赴日旅行警告，并被指示意航空公司减少赴日运力。

旅游业可能遭受溢出影响。2025 年 1–10 月中国访日旅客达 820 万人，同比增约 40%，为日本复苏中的关键来源市场。当前政治紧张局势使后续航空政策走向不确定，研究机构提醒需观察中国政府是否采取进一步限制措施。

Chinese airlines sharply expanded cuts to Japan-bound flights for December: 904 of the originally scheduled 5,548 flights have been canceled—16% of total capacity and over triple the 268 cancellations reported just two days earlier—removing roughly 156,000 seats across 72 routes and 13 airports. Kansai International Airport is the hardest hit, losing 626 arrivals (including 80 from Nanjing, 71 from Shanghai, 58 from Beijing). Narita and Chubu each lose 68 flights, New Chitose 61, Naha 26, while Haneda sees minimal impact with only 7 cancellations out of 989 planned arrivals.

Cuts are led by major Chinese carriers: China Southern (118), China Eastern (109), with even larger reductions from Shanghai-based mid-sized airlines Spring Airlines (182) and Juneyao Airlines (166). Airfare has collapsed, with December round-trip Kansai–Shanghai tickets dropping from around ¥20,000 last year to roughly ¥8,500. Narita Airport officials warn that 10%–20% of the nearly 300 weekly flights linking Narita and mainland China may be removed. The reductions follow Beijing’s travel warning amid tensions after PM Sanae Takaichi’s Taiwan remarks, and reports that Chinese authorities instructed airlines to curb Japan flights.

Tourism recovery is at risk. From January to October, 8.2 million Chinese travelers visited Japan—up about 40% year-on-year and a central pillar of inbound growth. Analysts caution that China may deploy further measures, making the outlook for air links and visitor flows highly uncertain.