随着以色列大选临近，中选会民调显示，长期领先的挑战者纳夫塔利·贝内特正被新崛起的加迪·艾森科特超越。作为以色列国防军前总参谋长，艾森科特在2022年才当选议员，并在10月7日袭击后加入了内阁，八个月后辞职。他的新中间派政党目前的支持率已逼近总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的利库德集团。艾森科特曾致信内阁批评内塔尼亚胡“回避重大决定”，警告以色列面临长期且无果的战争，并预言无法摧毁哈马斯的军事和管理能力。
两年多后的今天，他的预言已被证实。以色列国防军仍占领着加沙一半以上的土地，哈马斯继续控制着其余地区及200万人口。以色列的袭击已摧毁了加沙的大部分地区，并造成超过73,000人死亡，其中大多数是平民。这场战争严重损害了以色列的国际声誉，并使其与最重要盟友美国的关系陷入僵局。艾森科特的批评不仅具有先瞻性，也极为沉重，因为他25岁的预备役儿子加尔在两年前的战斗中牺牲。
尽管艾森科特对内塔尼亚胡进行了严厉批评，但他在政治上仍难以被定义，曾投票支持过左翼的工党和右翼的利库德集团。在军事上，他被视为导致国际谴责的“达希亚学说”的制定者，但在2015-16年间又曾反对对巴勒斯坦袭击者实施“格杀勿论”的政策。他最初支持在加沙、黎巴嫩和伊朗的战争，但主张提早结束并辅以外交手段。艾森科特英语生硬，不像内塔尼亚胡那样长于雄辩，他正试图通过具体的安全与外交计划向选民证明自己是一个真正的替代人选。
With Israel's elections four months away, polls show Gadi Eisenkot overtaking Naftali Bennett as the primary challenger to Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu. As a former IDF chief of staff who entered parliament in 2022, Eisenkot joined Netanyahu's war cabinet after October 7th but resigned eight months later. His centrist party is now nearly as popular as Netanyahu's Likud. During the war, Eisenkot criticized the prime minister for avoiding significant decisions, warning that Israel risked an inconclusive conflict and would fail to destroy Hamas's military and governing capabilities.
Over two years later, his warnings have proven correct. The IDF occupies over half of Gaza, while Hamas remains entrenched in the rest, ruling over 2 million residents. Israel's military campaign has destroyed much of Gaza and killed over 73,000 people, mostly civilians, severely damaging Israel's international standing. Eisenkot's warnings carry poignant weight, as his 25-year-old son, Gal, was killed in action two months prior to his resignation. Meanwhile, Netanyahu remains at loggerheads with the administration of the United States.
Politically, Eisenkot is hard to classify, having voted for both the left-wing Labor and right-wing Likud. Militarily, he is considered the author of the controversial Dahiyeh Doctrine, yet as IDF chief in 2015-16, he opposed a shoot-to-kill policy against Palestinian attackers. Although he initially supported the wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, he favored ending them sooner and pursuing diplomatic initiatives. Lacking Netanyahu's oratorical skills, Eisenkot must now convince the public that his forthcoming manifesto offers a viable strategic and domestic alternative.
Source: Does Gadi Eisenkot offer Israel a new chance?
Subtitle: Israelis think he may be a genuine alternative to Binyamin Netanyahu
Dateline: 6月 25, 2026 03:29 上午 | JERUSALEM