迪拜昔日以免所得税、优质学校和便利航线吸引全球富人，但在美国和以色列袭击伊朗近三个月后，这一优势开始被“导弹和无人机风险”所抵消；5月18日，伊朗的一枚打击已击中阿联酋唯一核电站的一台发电机。估计在战前，阿联酋1200万人口中约有300万至400万是富裕外籍人士及其家属，其中超过24万人是百万富翁，而近几周来自阿联酋居民的其他司法辖区咨询量上升了40%以上。
超过35个国家正在争夺这些富有且灵活的人群，目的地从新西兰、马耳他、马尔代夫、阿根廷到土耳其不等；土耳其于4月24日提出对部分外国人的外国收入和资本利得实行20年免税，并在战后已有约12名客户通过购房取得土耳其公民身份。米兰尤其受欢迎，意大利对高收入者的外国收入征收每年30万欧元的统一税，而且非欧洲人可通过投资25万欧元到初创企业、50万欧元到成熟企业，或捐赠100万欧元或购买200万欧元国债来获得居留。
新加坡也在受益：自1月以来其从阿联酋的黄金进口翻了三倍，贝亚丰特律所表示，过去两个月新客户咨询激增三分之一，既有客户中许多是新富中国人，而每年有3500名拥有至少100万美元存款的印度富人离境后也在重新考虑新加坡。尽管新加坡所得税率为24%，且在2023年30亿美元洗钱丑闻后收紧监管、2024年又赋予警方查阅税务和海关数据的权力，但其高效政府、可预期的法律体系和财富管理能力，使其成为迪拜外流财富的重要接收地。
Dubai once offered tax-free incomes, strong schools, and easy flight links, but nearly three months after US and Israeli attacks on Iran, those benefits are being weighed against missile-and-drone risk; on May 18, one strike hit a generator at the UAE’s only nuclear power plant. Estimates suggest that before the war, about 3 million to 4 million of the UAE’s 12 million people were affluent outsiders and family members, including more than 240,000 millionaires, and enquiries from UAE-based residents about other jurisdictions have risen by over 40% in recent weeks.
More than 35 countries are competing for these wealthy, mobile people, with destinations ranging from New Zealand, Malta, the Maldives, and Argentina to Turkey, which on April 24 proposed a 20-year exemption from taxes on foreign income and capital gains for some foreigners; about a dozen clients have already gained Turkish citizenship by buying homes. Milan is especially popular, with Italy levying a flat tax of €300,000 a year on foreign income and offering residency through €250,000 startup investments, €500,000 in established firms, a €1 million charity donation, or €2 million in government bonds.
Singapore is also benefiting: its gold imports from the UAE have quadrupled since January, Bayfront Law says new client inquiries have jumped by one third in two months, and many existing clients, mostly newly rich Chinese, are looking beyond the Middle East, while 3,500 rich Indians leave each year with at least $1 million in the bank and may reconsider Singapore. Despite a 24% income tax rate and tighter anti-money-laundering rules after a $3 billion scandal, its efficient government, predictable legal system, and wealth managers make it a major recipient of Dubai’s outflow, though some crypto wealth may remain in the Middle East.
Source: Where expat escapees from Dubai end up
Subtitle: Will they ever return?
Dateline: 5月 21, 2026 03:18 上午 | Berlin, Dubai and Singapore