在 2026 年 2 月 26 日，Donald Trump 总统表示美国将会「轻易」战胜伊朗，但同月的卫星影像显示，伊朗工程人员正在清理核设施的残骸；这些设施在去年 6 月与美国和以色列的 12-day 冲突中受损，且关键地点正被加固以应对未来攻击。美国与伊朗外交官于周四在日内瓦会晤，双方都称此为避免敌对行动再起的最后努力；同时，美国官员称目前兵力态势是二十多年来美军在中东最大规模的集结。在检查被缩减之前，IAEA 报告称伊朗拥有足以制造约十余个核装置的高浓缩铀；而在伊朗暂停 IAEA 对遭轰炸地点的进入后，该材料的状态与位置已超过八个月未被独立核实。
在 Isfahan，影像显示核设施群附近多个隧道入口已被回填，分析人士称此举是为了防止空袭造成坍塌，并封住脆弱的出入点。在 Natanz，影像显示重建正在进行，包括受损试点燃料浓缩厂上方的新屋顶，但地下系统情况仍不确定；在 Natanz 西南方的 Pickaxe Mountain，两个隧道入口被延长，并覆盖了砾石与沙土。在 6 月 22 日的 Operation Midnight Hammer 期间，美军 B-2 飞机向 Fordow 与 Natanz 投下 30,000-pound (13,600-kilogram) 的 GBU-57 炸弹；卫星影像显示地表受损严重，但深埋离心机大厅的毁伤程度仍不明，一些估计认为 Fordow 关键舱室位于地下数十米。
潜在打击目标不只限于浓缩设施，也涵盖飞弹与军事基础设施，包括德黑兰东南方的 Parchin；这是一个 52-square-kilometer (20-square-mile) 的综合区，近期影像显示 Taleghan-2 地点新增了防御工事。伊朗的国土规模与地形使打击更复杂：该国面积约 1.6 million 平方公里（约为 Texas 的两倍），而 Khojir 飞弹综合区位于 2,108-meter 的 Kuh-e Barjamali 山峰附近，建筑之间由土堤与防爆墙分隔。区域风险轮廓也可量化，因为 Hormuz 海峡一旦受扰，可能影响承载全球油品与石油产品 20% 的航线；受引述的专家称，打击可延缓计划，但未必能决定性地将其消除。
On February 26, 2026, President Donald Trump said the US would “easily” prevail against Iran, but satellite images from the same month show Iranian engineers clearing debris at nuclear facilities damaged in last June’s 12-day conflict with the US and Israel and reinforcing key sites for future attacks. US and Iranian diplomats met in Geneva on Thursday for what both sides described as a last-ditch effort to avoid renewed hostilities, while US officials described the current force posture as the largest US military buildup in the Middle East in more than two decades. Before inspections were curtailed, the IAEA reported Iran had enough highly enriched uranium for about a dozen nuclear devices, and the material’s status and location have not been independently verified for more than eight months after Iran suspended IAEA access to bombed sites.
At Isfahan, imagery indicates multiple tunnel entrances near the nuclear complex were backfilled, and analysts said this was meant to prevent collapse from airstrikes and seal vulnerable access points. At Natanz, imagery shows reconstruction including a new roof over a damaged pilot fuel enrichment plant, while uncertainty remains about subterranean systems; at Pickaxe Mountain southwest of Natanz, two tunnel entrances were extended and covered with gravel and sand. During Operation Midnight Hammer on June 22, US B-2 aircraft dropped 30,000-pound (13,600-kilogram) GBU-57 bombs on Fordow and Natanz; satellite images show major surface damage, but destruction levels in deeply buried centrifuge halls remain uncertain, with some estimates placing key Fordow chambers tens of meters underground.
The potential target set extends beyond enrichment to missile and military infrastructure, including Parchin southeast of Tehran, a 52-square-kilometer (20-square-mile) complex where recent imagery shows added fortification at the Taleghan-2 site. Iran’s scale and terrain complicate targeting: the country spans about 1.6 million square kilometers (roughly twice Texas), and the Khojir missile complex lies near the 2,108-meter Kuh-e Barjamali peak with buildings separated by berms and blast walls. The regional risk profile is also quantitative, as disruption in the Strait of Hormuz could affect the route that carries 20% of global oil and oil products, while cited specialists said strikes can delay programs but may not decisively eliminate them.