美国国家海洋和大气管理局宣布新一轮厄尔尼诺现象已经开始，预计将使海面温度升高2.5°C以上，甚至可能达到3°C。这将是75年有记录以来的最高升幅，超过了1982-83年期间创下的2.5°C的前纪录。

厄尔尼诺现象加剧了全球变暖趋势，正如2024年的厄尔尼诺将全球气温推高至比工业化前水平高出1.55°C的创纪录水平。气候建模师警告称，即将到来的周期可能会使2027年比2024年更加炎热。

农业影响预计将非常严重，此前2023-24年的厄尔尼诺气温比正常水平高出1.5°C，并导致了南部非洲一个多世纪以来最严重的干旱。联合国粮农组织警告说，萨赫勒和索马里等地区面临着严重的作物歉收和洪灾风险。

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced the start of a new El Niño that is projected to raise sea-surface temperatures by more than 2.5°C and possibly up to 3°C. This would be the highest rise in 75 years of record-keeping, exceeding the previous record of 2.5°C set during the 1982-83 event.

El Niño events compound global warming trends, as seen when the 2024 El Niño pushed global temperatures to a record 1.55°C above pre-industrial levels. Climate modellers warn that the upcoming cycle could make 2027 even hotter than 2024.

Agricultural impacts are expected to be severe, following the 2023-24 El Niño which peaked at 1.5°C above normal and caused southern Africa's worst drought in over 100 years. The Food and Agriculture Organisation warns that regions such as the Sahel and Somalia are at risk of severe crop failures and flooding.

Source: The coming El Niño could be the strongest ever recorded

Subtitle: That is bad news for a warming world

Dateline: 6月 18, 2026 03:16 上午