《经济学人》和GlobeScan在7月至9月对32个国家的32,000人进行民调。作为世界领导大国的中国偏好上升11个百分点，达到平均33%，而对美国的支持降至46%。中国的支持增长出现在每一个被采样的国家；在美国，支持中国领导的比例翻倍至6%。五分之二的美国人（≈40%）现在认为中国的全球影响“主要是积极的”，高于特朗普第一任期的25%。

对中国的偏好与年龄强烈相关：18至24岁几乎并列（美国41%对中国39%），而65岁以上者给美国30个百分点的优势。区域性增幅在拉丁美洲和欧洲最大：巴西、加拿大、墨西哥、南非和西班牙对中国的支持增加约20个百分点（同时对美国的支持下降）。印尼录得最大跃升（+23个百分点）至62%，使其成为继埃及之后第二支持中国最多的国家。日本和韩国仍是例外（≤5%偏好中国）。

非洲和中东在增长9个百分点后转为多数支持中国，部分得益于“一带一路”数十亿美元的投资。总体而言，中国的软实力胜利和特朗普混乱的外交政策——对加拿大和墨西哥的关税、与南非和巴西的争端——有助解释为何全球对美国的偏好下降，而中国的吸引力增强。

The Economist and GlobeScan polled 32,000 people in 32 countries (July–September). Preference for China as the world’s leading power rose by 11 percentage points to an average 33%, while support for America fell to 46%. China’s lead increase occurred in every sampled country; in the United States support for Chinese leadership doubled to 6%. Two in five Americans (≈40%) now view China’s global influence as “mainly positive,” up from 25% in Mr Trump’s first term.

Preference for China correlates strongly with age: 18–24-year-olds are nearly tied (America 41% vs China 39%), while those 65+ give America a 30-point advantage. Regional gains were largest in Latin America and Europe: Brazil, Canada, Mexico, South Africa and Spain saw ~20-point rises for China (and falls for America). Indonesia registered the largest jump (+23 points) to 62%, making it the second-most pro-China country after Egypt. Japan and South Korea remain outliers (≤5% preferring China).

Africa and the Middle East moved over the majority threshold for China after a 9-point rise, aided by Belt and Road investments of tens of billions of dollars. Overall, China’s soft-power wins and President Trump’s chaotic foreign policy—tariffs on Canada and Mexico, disputes with South Africa and Brazil—help explain why global preference for America has dimmed while China’s appeal has strengthened.