今年中国高考报名人数降至1290万人，低于2024年的1340万人，标志着连续第二年下降。由于年出生人口从2008年的1610万骤降至2025年的仅790万，这一学生规模的缩减预计将在未来急剧加速。

此外，幼儿园在园幼儿人数在2022至2025年间从4600万骤降至3200万，预示着未来学生人口将大幅下滑。与此同时，人工智能正在重塑教育，调查显示有85.6%的学生已经开始使用AI工具来完成家庭作业。

尽管北京已在全市所有1400所中小学推广了人工智能教育，但人们依然担忧AI可能会诱发抄袭并削弱批判性学习能力。随着生源缩减和AI提供低成本辅导，教师和传统培训机构正面临着迫在眉睫的行业收缩。

China's gaokao university entrance exam registrations fell to 12.9 million this year, down from 13.4 million in 2024, representing the second consecutive year of decline. This decline is expected to accelerate dramatically, as birth rates plummeted from 16.1 million in 2008 to just 7.9 million in 2025.

Additionally, nursery school enrollment dropped from 46 million in 2022 to 32 million in 2025, foreshadowing a steep decline in future student populations. Simultaneously, artificial intelligence is reshaping education, with 85.6% of surveyed students already using AI tools to complete their homework.

While Beijing has rolled out AI education across all 1,400 of its schools, concerns persist that AI might encourage cheating and dilute critical learning skills. As pupil numbers shrink and AI offers low-cost tutoring alternatives, teachers and traditional tutors face an impending labor squeeze.

Source: China’s notorious university-entrance exam is changing

Subtitle: Demography and AI are set to transform the gaokao

Dateline: 6月 11, 2026 04:20 上午