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2024年初,Anthropic、Google、Meta与OpenAI仍一致反对军事用途,但至2025年初全部转向。OpenAI于2024年1月撤销「禁止军事与战争用途」条款后与五角大厦合作,11月Meta允许Llama用于国防,同周Anthropic宣布与Palantir合作,年底OpenAI又与Anduril结盟。2025年2月,Google修改AI原则,允许开发具潜在杀伤性的技术。短短一年内,AI军事化全面常态化。其根源在于高昂的模型开发成本与国防订单的长期资金优势,使军方成为AI企业可依赖的稳定资金来源。

此转变标志着「矽谷共识」的瓦解。自1990年代以来,美国科技与政治菁英围绕全球化、去监管与创新形成共识。数位巨头在自由市场与国家支持间共生,2000年代更推动与中国经贸融合,形成跨国资本与国家权力的协调格局。但至2020年代后期,地缘政治与民族安全重新凌驾经济自由主义。投资、贸易与监管政策转向战略性对抗,中美科技脱钩与军事技术国产化成为核心议题。

新兴的「技术右翼」与国家安全机构结合,取代早期的自由全球化愿景。Andreessen Horowitz等风投基金建立防务工业投资池,矽谷劳动阶层对军事合作的抗议亦显著减弱。Amazon、Microsoft与Google相继签署价值逾百亿美元的军事云端合约,OpenAI于2024年邀前NSA高官Paul Nakasone入董事会。AI创业者如Sam Altman与Dario Amodei从倡导中美合作转向宣称「民主国家必须赢得AI之战」。矽谷自由派与新民族主义力量之间的权力竞逐已取代原有共识,美国科技产业的全球化时代告终。

At the start of 2024, Anthropic, Google, Meta, and OpenAI were aligned against military use of AI tools, but by early 2025 all had reversed course. OpenAI rescinded its “military and warfare” ban in January 2024 and began collaborating with the Pentagon; Meta allowed Llama for defense use in November; Anthropic partnered with Palantir; and OpenAI announced a deal with Anduril. In February 2025, Google revised its AI principles to permit potentially harmful technologies. Within a year, AI militarization became normalized. The driver lies in the immense model-building costs and the defense sector’s stable, long-term funding, making the military an indispensable client for AI firms.

This shift marks the collapse of the “Silicon Valley Consensus.” Since the 1990s, U.S. tech and political elites had shared faith in globalization, deregulation, and innovation. Tech giants thrived under minimal oversight and close state alignment, extending to U.S.–China economic integration through the 2000s. By the late 2020s, however, geopolitical and security priorities replaced free-market liberalism. Investment, trade, and regulation now center on strategic competition, with technological decoupling and military industrialization at the forefront of U.S.–China rivalry.

A new “tech right” has risen, merging with national security institutions and supplanting globalist ideals. Venture capital firms such as Andreessen Horowitz fund defense startups, while worker resistance to military contracts has waned. Amazon, Microsoft, and Google signed multibillion-dollar defense cloud deals, and OpenAI added former NSA chief Paul Nakasone to its board in 2024. AI leaders like Sam Altman and Dario Amodei now frame AI as a “democracy versus authoritarianism” contest. The struggle between Silicon Valley’s liberal globalism and nationalist militarization defines the new order, signaling the end of America’s era of tech-driven globalization.

2026-01-15 (Thursday) · 58f821795be6951b893b9bbd4006f109db0252d3