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由 Robinhood Markets 和海纳国际集团(Susquehanna International Group)支持的预测市场平台 Rothera,自今年 5 月推出以来已吸引了超过 30 亿美元的投注额。得益于世界杯足球赛的热潮,该平台 7 月份的日均交易量较 6 月大幅成长 86%,达到 1.18 亿美元,展现出强劲的增长势头。

Rothera 提供包括职业棒球、经济事件及世界杯在内的「是或否」预测合约。虽然目前用户仅能透过 Robinhood 进行交易,但该公司正积极与多家零售及机构经纪商洽谈合作。创办人表示,凭借 Robinhood 与海纳国际的强大背景,他们成功克服了新交易所常见的流动性与用户不足的恶性循环难题。

巴克莱银行分析师指出,Rothera 与 Robinhood 的合作关系使其交易费用能显著低于竞争对手。Robinhood 近期将每张合约的手续费上限降至 1 美分(先前最高为 2 美分),这项降费举措进一步提升了 Rothera 面对 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 等业界巨头时的竞争力。

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Rothera, a prediction market backed by Robinhood Markets Inc. and Susquehanna International Group, has driven more than $3 billion in wagers since its launch in May. Fueled by World Cup fever, the platform's average daily volume in July surged 86% compared to June, reaching $118 million and showing rapid growth.

Rothera offers yes-or-no contracts on professional baseball, economic events, and the World Cup. Currently accessible only via Robinhood, the startup is in active discussions with several other retail and institutional brokers to expand its reach, successfully overcoming the typical liquidity chicken-and-egg problem thanks to its prominent backers.

A Barclays analyst noted that Rothera's relationship with Robinhood allows its transaction fees to be significantly lower than those of competing platforms. Robinhood recently capped these fees at 1 cent per contract, down from a previous high of 2 cents, strengthening Rothera's position against major rivals like Polymarket and Kalshi.
2026-07-12 (Sunday) · e1634987cde40e67b2e8617befeb69a00bfe09f4