中国科技公司正在激烈竞争 AI 用户，将他们的竞争从传统的促销活动转移到预测世界杯结果上。Alibaba 声称其 Qwen 应用程式准确预测了揭幕战的比分以及一名南非球员的红牌，而 Baidu 则表示其 Ernie 机器人在小组赛预测中领先。两家公司都加入了由 Lenovo 和 Migu 举办的竞赛，将包括 Moonshot AI 的 Kimi 和 Lenovo 的 Tianxi AI 在内的 12 个 AI 模型与数百万名观众进行对决。截至周一，AI 模型以 62% 的准确率领先人类的 55%。
为了推广其模型，各公司正展示先进的功能并提供用户福利。Moonshot AI 表示 Kimi 利用了 300 个代理（agents）来分析战术、球员、天气和赔率，如果用户预测的球队获胜，则会向其提供免费代币，这有助于运行大规模任务。Alibaba 的 Qwen 也部署了数十个代理，并为预测超过 32 场比赛的用户提供 AI 眼镜的抽奖活动。Lenovo 和 Migu 甚至将这场对决制作成一部 20 集的真人实境秀《人机大战：谁是世界杯预言帝》，以推广这些 AI 模型。
然而，专家警告不要高估这些预测结果。Wharton 学校教授 Adi Wyner 认为，104 场世界杯比赛在统计学上样本量太小，无法证明任何 AI 模型具有真正的优势，且由于参赛名单公布较晚以及不可预测的个人发挥，AI 相较于简单统计模型的优势有限。Alibaba 的 Qwen 项目负责人 Figo Cheng 对此表示赞同，并指出足球最大的魅力在于其不可预测性，任何声称能 100% 准确预测的人很可能是骗子，而不是使用 AI。
Chinese technology companies are competing intensely for AI users, moving their rivalry from traditional promotions to predicting World Cup results. Alibaba claimed its Qwen app accurately predicted the opening match score and a South African player's red card, while Baidu stated its Ernie bot led group stage predictions. Both firms joined a competition organized by Lenovo and Migu, pitting 12 AI models, including Moonshot AI's Kimi and Lenovo's Tianxi AI, against millions of viewers. As of Monday, AI models led humans with a 62% accuracy rate compared to 55% for humans.
To promote their models, companies are showcasing advanced capabilities and offering user incentives. Moonshot AI stated Kimi utilizes 300 agents to analyze tactics, players, weather, and odds, offering free tokens to users if their predicted teams win, which helps run large-scale tasks. Alibaba's Qwen also employs dozens of agents and offers a drawing for AI glasses for users predicting over 32 matches. Lenovo and Migu have even turned this showdown into a 20-episode reality show, "Human versus Machine: Who's the World Cup Prophet," to market these AI models.
However, experts caution against overestimating these prediction results. Wharton School professor Adi Wyner argues that the 104-match World Cup is statistically too small a sample size to prove any AI model's true edge, and AI's advantage over simpler statistical models is limited due to late squad announcements and unpredictable individual performance. Figo Cheng, leader of Alibaba's Qwen project, agrees, stating that the greatest appeal of soccer is its unpredictability, and anyone claiming 100% accuracy is likely a liar rather than using AI.