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全球债券市场近期面临抛售潮,促使多国公债殖利率攀升至多年来的新高,但整体跌幅与波动程度相较于2022年的历史性大跌仍显得温和许多,今年债券累计下跌约4.2%,远低于当年的23%。

此次殖利率走升的主因包括地缘冲突引发的能源通膨压力、主要经济体庞大的财政支出与公债发行量,以及人工智慧热潮带动的庞大资金需求;然而,由于当前起始票息与殖利率较高,提供了投资人较佳的收益缓冲保护。

尽管美债、英债、德债及日债等指标殖利率皆创下多年高点,市场尚未断定殖利率已见顶,但债券市场的年化波动度已显著下降,许多市场专业人士认为当前的高殖利率正为追求稳定收益的长期投资人带来难得的布局机会。




The recent selloff across global bond markets has pushed yields to multi-year highs, but the overall downturn remains far more moderate than the severe rout in 2022, with global bonds losing about 4.2% this year compared to a 23% plunge back then.

Key drivers behind the rising yields include energy-driven inflationary pressures, elevated government debt issuance across major economies, and fierce capital competition fueled by the AI boom; however, higher starting coupon rates and yields now provide a stronger income cushion against price declines.

Although benchmark yields in the US, UK, Germany, and Japan have surged to multi-year highs and a peak in yields is not yet certain, declining market volatility suggests investors are taking the selloff in stride and viewing current yield levels as an attractive entry point for income-oriented portfolios.
2026-09-03 (Thursday) · daf6cae45b50d6ecf7ff675b4994f57a5b33c51f