在穆斯林占总人口6%的英国,加沙冲突虽然仍是一个不断缩小的边缘群体的重大关切,但在更广泛的公众意识中正在淡去。尽管在2024年5月有21%的穆斯林将该冲突列为首要投票议题,但全体受访者中仅有不到0.5%的人持此看法,且这一比例到2025年5月已减半。
英国对以色列的看法已有所趋硬,在2025年3月有61%的人持不利看法,而在2025年5月有32%的人更同情巴勒斯坦。此外,在2023年至2025年期间,对巴勒斯坦表现出强烈同情的受访者(占19%)在十分制量表上对收入再分配的支持平均上升了0.6点。
穆斯林内部的政治取向正在发生变化,最近的一项民意调查显示,绿党获得了30%的支持率,工党为44%,独立人士为10%。这种转变使得左翼民粹主义团体能够成功招募那些观点受到社交媒体塑造的年轻选民。

In the UK, where Muslims constitute 6% of the population, the Gaza conflict remains a significant concern for a shrinking fringe but is fading from the wider public mind. While 21% of Muslims cited the conflict as their top voting issue in May 2024, less than 0.5% of overall respondents did so, a figure that halved by May 2025.
British views of Israel have hardened, with 61% holding unfavourable opinions in March 2025, and 32% sympathising more with Palestine in May 2025. Furthermore, 19% of respondents with strong Palestinian sympathy became 0.6 points more supportive of income redistribution on a ten-point scale between 2023 and 2025.
Political alignment among Muslims is shifting, with a recent poll showing 30% support for the Green Party, 44% for Labour, and 10% for independents. This shift has allowed left-populist groups to successfully recruit young voters whose views are shaped by social media.
Source: British politics has passed peak Palestine
Subtitle: The war in Gaza has turned a cohort of voters leftwards
Dateline: June 4th 2026