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2025 年 IPO 反弹催生了 21 位新亿万富豪,但这些人在 IPO 首日持股价值达到至少 10 亿美元的头寸,之后平均下跌了 23%。许多上市呈现典型的动量行情:首日暴涨,随后随着交易回归常态、基本面信息出现而快速回吐。

跌幅最深的包括 Venture Global 联合创始人 Bob Pender 与 Mike Sabel:目前各约 68 亿美元,但较 1 月 23 日 IPO 开盘价下跌 71%,较当日高点下跌 72%;此前定价区间被下调逾 40%,随后业绩不及预期并在仲裁中败诉。Newsmax 创始人 Chris Ruddy 的持股曾因两天内涨超 2,200% 而在账面上超过 91 亿美元,但在约 80% 的单日暴跌后,目前约 3.40 亿美元(较 IPO −38%,较 4 月 1 日高点 −96%)。

大型科技与加密相关标的也大幅回撤:Figma 的 Dylan Field(20 亿美元)与 Evan Wallace(10 亿美元)较 7 月 31 日开盘价下跌 55%(较 8 月 1 日高点下跌 68%),此前首日上涨 250%;Bullish 的 Brendan Blumer(18 亿美元)与 Kokuei Yuan(16 亿美元)较 8 月 13 日开盘价下跌 54%,尽管其 11 亿美元发行获得超过 20 倍超额认购。少数仍高于发行价:Circle 的 Jeremy Allaire 较 6 月 5 日开盘价上涨 18%,但较 6 月 23 日高点下跌 69%;CoreWeave 较 3 月 28 日开盘价上涨 96%,但较 6 月 20 日高点下跌 58%;Figure 上涨 22%,Neptune 上涨 33%(较 12 月 24 日高点 −2%)。文中还提到 Fermi(−70%)、Klarna(−43%)、Gemini(−71%)以及 Webull(较 4 月 11 日 SPAC 成交价 −49%,较 4 月 14 日高点 −87%)等回落。

A 2025 IPO rebound minted 21 new billionaires, but their IPO-day $1B+ stakes have since fallen 23% on average. Many listings showed classic momentum spikes: outsized first-day pops, then sharp givebacks as trading normalized and fundamentals arrived.

The steepest drawdowns include Venture Global co-founders, who are $6.8B each today, but down 71% from the Jan. 23 IPO open and 72% from the same-day peak after a >40% range cut, weak earnings, and an arbitration loss. Newsmax founder briefly had a >$9.1B paper stake after a >2,200% two-day surge, but it is now about $340M (−38% vs IPO, −96% vs April 1 peak) after an 80% one-day drop.

Big tech/crypto names also retraced: Figma’s Dylan Field ($2B) and Evan Wallace ($1B) are −55% vs the July 31 open (−68% from Aug. 1 high) after a 250% first-day pop; Bullish founders are −54% vs Aug. 13 despite a $1.1B deal that was >20× oversubscribed. A few remain above offer: Circle’s Jeremy Allaire is +18% vs June 5 but −69% from the June 23 high; CoreWeave is +96% vs March 28 but −58% from its June 20 high; Figure is +22%, and Neptune is +33% (−2% from Dec. 24 high).

2025-12-30 (Tuesday) · f0a9c154bcdecf3d20b910c3e03e5df9aadffed8