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乌克兰战争并未使房地产市场崩溃,而是造成明显分化。基辅一套72平方米公寓售价约15万美元,低于战前约19万美元。西部城市需求激增,利沃夫房价达到每平方米1,720美元,比战争开始时上涨64%,甚至高于首都。与此同时,靠近前线地区房价普遍下跌,一旦进入俄军炮火射程范围通常会出现急剧下滑。

租赁市场却呈现相反趋势。由于住房供应有限和军人收入较高,前线附近租金持续上涨。例如在距离前线仅13公里的斯拉维扬斯克,寻找租房可能需要数周;在克拉马托尔斯克,一栋平房月租约60,000格里夫纳(约1,370美元),甚至高于一些最便宜公寓的购买价格。这种情况促使部分士兵直接购房,例如有人以100,000格里夫纳买下原本租住的房屋。

市场还出现投机与人口回流现象。一些公司以折扣价格购买高风险地区房产,赌战后重建或政府补偿。与此同时,2023年以来部分居民开始返回东部城市,如距离前线约30公里的哈尔科夫。当地一居室公寓价格约为平均年收入的3.5倍,而几年前为5倍,吸引投资者进入。战争因此形成一个异常房地产市场:西部价格上涨、东部折价投资,而核心城市仍保持需求。

Ukraine’s war has not collapsed the property market but has produced sharp distortions. In Kyiv a 72-square-metre apartment is listed at about $150,000, down from roughly $190,000 before the war. Demand has surged in western regions as people relocate internally. In Lviv average prices have reached $1,720 per square metre, 64% higher than at the start of the war and even above those in the capital. By contrast property values near the front lines usually decline sharply, especially once areas fall within Russian artillery range.

Rental markets show the opposite pattern. Limited housing supply and relatively high military wages allow landlords near the front to charge higher rents. In Sloviansk, just 13km from the front line, finding a rental can take weeks. In nearby Kramatorsk monthly rent for a bungalow is about 60,000 hryvnia ($1,370), higher than the purchase price of some of the cheapest apartments. Such conditions encourage soldiers to buy property, with some houses reportedly purchased for around 100,000 hryvnia.

Speculation and population shifts are also reshaping the market. Some firms buy high-risk properties at heavy discounts, betting on post-war recovery or government compensation if buildings are destroyed. Since 2023 some residents have also begun returning east. Kharkiv, about 30km from the front line, has become an investment hotspot where one-bedroom apartments sell for roughly 3.5 times average annual wages, compared with about five times a few years earlier. The war has therefore produced an unusual property market combining western price booms, eastern discounts and persistent demand in major cities.

2026-03-14 (Saturday) · 91fbeaa6ebf5b82636f065337ccdcd0c272b6559

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