即将于6月11日开幕的世界杯将在16个城市举行104场比赛，其中墨西哥将承办13场比赛，作为历史上第三危险的东道国，其面临着严峻的安全担忧。在卡特尔暴力活动（5月份平均每天有44人被谋杀）的压力下，墨西哥正部署约10万名安全人员来保护体育场和球迷区。

尽管存在安全风险，德勤估计该赛事仍将为墨西哥经济带来27.3亿美元的增长（约占其年国内生产总值的0.14%），并创造超过10万个临时工作岗位。然而，基础设施挑战、例如6月1日墨西哥城教师示威等抗议活动以及国际旅行协议，带来了额外的障碍。

受唐纳德·特朗普单边安全政策以及美国于4月30日对锡那罗亚州长提出毒品指控的推动，地缘政治紧张局势也呈上升趋势。对于总统克劳迪娅·辛鲍姆而言，最终的风险在于，在7月5日结束的墨西哥承办比赛期间，任何安全或后勤失误都将强化美国的论调，即墨西哥无法控制本国领土。

The upcoming World Cup, kicking off on June 11th, features 104 matches across 16 cities, with Mexico hosting 13 matches amid heavy security concerns as the third-most-dangerous host country in history. Under pressure from cartel violence, which averaged 44 murders daily in May, Mexico is deploying roughly 100,000 security personnel to protect stadiums and fan zones.

Despite security risks, Deloitte estimates the tournament will boost Mexico's economy by $2.73 billion, representing 0.14% of its annual GDP, and create over 100,000 temporary jobs. However, logistical challenges, protests such as the June 1st teachers' demonstration in Mexico City, and international travel protocols present additional hurdles.

Geopolitical tensions are also rising, fueled by Donald Trump's unilateral security approach and the April 30th US drug charges against Sinaloa's governor. For President Claudia Sheinbaum, the ultimate risk is that any security or logistical failure during Mexico's matches, ending on July 5th, will strengthen US arguments that Mexico cannot control its own territory.

Source: The World Cup will test Mexico’s control over its territory

Subtitle: Donald Trump, who says the government is too weak to combat the drug gangs, will be watching

Dateline: 6月 11, 2026 04:20 上午 | Guadalajara