桑切斯在3月4日重申反对美国对伊朗的袭击，并在1月给予大约80万无证移民大赦，把西班牙塑造成特朗普式民族主义在欧洲的主要对手。西班牙经济自2023年以来的增速是欧元区平均水平的两倍，去年增长2.8%，这为他的亲移民和进步立场提供了支撑。

尽管立场偏鸽派，桑切斯自2024年以来仍把国防开支提高了40%以上，达到GDP的2%，但仍低于北约3.5%的目标。与此同时，在执政将近8年后，他的联盟已不再拥有可靠多数派，并且社会党在12月的埃斯特雷马杜拉和上月的阿拉贡地区选举中惨败。

民调显示西班牙选民正在右移：住房成本上升抵消了工资增长，许多受访者如今认为移民过多，而民粹右翼Vox在埃斯特雷马杜拉和阿拉贡都赢得了超过17%的选票。桑切斯希望在最迟必须于2027年7月前举行的大选前重新动员左翼选民，但分析人士警告，政治周期可能正在结束，而异常之处在于人民党可能不得不与Vox共同执政。

Sánchez used a March 4 television appearance to restate his opposition to America’s attack on Iran and, after granting amnesty in January to perhaps 800,000 undocumented migrants, cast Spain as Europe’s leading opponent of Trumpian nationalism. His stance is backed by an economy that has grown twice as fast as the euro-area average since 2023 and expanded by 2.8% last year.

Even while sounding dovish, Sánchez has raised defence spending by over 40% since 2024 to 2% of GDP, though still below NATO’s 3.5% target. At the same time, after almost eight years in office, his coalition no longer has a reliable majority, and the Socialists were heavily defeated in the regional elections in Extremadura in December and Aragón last month.

Polls suggest Spain has been shifting rightward: rising housing costs have offset wage gains, majorities in some recent surveys now think immigration is too high, and the populist-right Vox won over 17% in both Extremadura and Aragón. Sánchez wants to re-energise left-wing voters before a general election that must be held by July 2027, but analysts warn that the political cycle may be ending, with the unusual prospect of the PP needing to govern alongside Vox.

Source: Feted by Europe’s left, Spain’s Pedro Sánchez is unloved at home

Subtitle: The prime minister is trying to become an icon of resistance to Donald Trump

Dateline: 3月 05, 2026 04:15 上午 | Madrid