这份长达32页的《国家安全战略》（NSS）标志着与特朗普2017年版和拜登2022年版的明显决裂，把美国目标从理想转向围绕“灵活现实主义”和赤裸裸的力量均势。文本分析显示，“民主”一词出现得更少，而“经济”和“经济的”出现得更多，“中国”被更频繁提及，但几乎完全是在经济而非地缘政治语境中。
在地区层面，这份NSS把根源于1823年门罗宣言和1904年罗斯福“推论”的“美洲优先”或“特朗普推论”教义抬升为核心，寻求对整个西半球的主导权以及对“战略关键资产”的控制。它为在加勒比长期投入大约五分之一的美国部署舰队辩护，支持从打击伊朗核设施到轰炸委内瑞拉贩毒船只的行动，同时谴责欧盟对X处以1.2亿欧元（1.4亿美元）罚款并解除对向中国出口英伟达H200芯片的禁令，以换取芯片收益25%划给美国政府。
尽管充斥着非自由主义言论，民意和制度层面的数字仍在约束政策选择。里根研究所的一项民调显示，64%的美国人希望本国在国际事务中发挥领导作用，68%对北约持积极看法，62%希望乌克兰在对俄战争中取胜，60%支持动用美军保卫台湾，而国会正在推动跨党派法案和一部《国防授权法案》，保持每年约4亿美元对乌军事援助，并限制削减在北约和韩国驻军规模。
A recent Reagan Institute poll reveals that 64% of Americans desire international leadership, 68% view NATO positively, and 62% want Ukraine to win against Russia. Additionally, 60% support U.S. military involvement in defending Taiwan. Meanwhile, Congress is advancing bipartisan bills and a National Defense Authorization Act that allocates approximately $400 million per year in military aid to Ukraine while imposing restrictions on troop reductions in NATO and South Korea. This suggests that public opinion influences policy decisions, despite varying sentiments.
The new 32-page National Security Strategy (NSS) marks a sharp break from both Trump’s 2017 and Biden’s 2022 strategies, recasting U.S. aims around “flexible realism” and raw power balances rather than ideals. Textual analysis shows “democracy” appears less often while “economy” and “economic” appear more, and “China” is referenced more frequently but almost entirely in an economic, not geopolitical, context.
Regionally, the NSS elevates an “Americas First” or “Trump Corollary” doctrine rooted in the 1823 Monroe and 1904 Roosevelt precedents, seeking dominance of the entire western hemisphere and control of “strategically vital assets.” It justifies tying up about a fifth of America’s deployed fleet in the Caribbean, backing strikes from Iran’s nuclear facilities to Venezuelan drug-smuggling boats, while at the same time denouncing a €120m ($140m) EU fine on X and lifting the Nvidia H200 export ban to China in exchange for 25% of chip proceeds going to the U.S. government.
Source: Inside the fight for MAGA’s foreign policy
Subtitle: Donald Trump’s court squabbles over the future of American power
Dateline: 12月 11, 2025 06:00 上午 | SIMI VALLEY AND WASHINGTON, DC