尽管今年夏天世界杯预计吸引超过120万名外籍球迷，且全球旅游业预计在2026年持续增长，但美国的国际访客量预计要到2029年川普卸任时才能恢复至疫情前水平。来自西欧和中国等传统高消费地区的游客量显著减少，而加拿大游客也因关税威胁与抵制而大幅下跌，导致主要客源国地位被墨西哥取代。
拟议中的ESTA签证豁免系统变更要求提供更详细的社群媒体及联络资讯，这预期将进一步吓阻数百万旅客，造成数百亿美元的消费损失。此外，世界杯并未带来预期的酒店预订潮，多数酒店业者表示订房率低于预期，且学生签证与商务旅行的下滑亦使美国高额消费的旅客群体萎缩。
Since Donald Trump's return to the White House last year, the US tourism industry has fallen into a trough due to his on-again, off-again tariffs, tightened borders and visa policies, and troop deployments. According to Tourism Economics, this caused the US tourism industry to lose up to $16.6 billion in 2025, and it is headed for an additional $21 billion deficit this year, with administration policies being the primary contributor.
Although the World Cup is expected to attract over 1.2 million foreign fans this summer and global tourism is projected to grow in 2026, international arrivals to the US are not expected to recover to pre-pandemic levels until 2029. High-spending tourists from Western Europe and China have declined, and visits from Canada have plunged due to tariff threats and trade disputes, allowing Mexico to displace Canada as the top source market.
Proposed changes to the ESTA visa waiver system requiring extensive personal information are expected to deter millions of visitors, causing billions in lost spending. Furthermore, the World Cup has not generated the anticipated hotel booking boom, with most hoteliers reporting reservations below expectations, while declines in student visas and business travel are further shrinking the segment of high-spending visitors to the US.