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稀土元素鉺的價格在過去兩個月內飆升約三分之一,原因是市場擔憂中國可能在今年十一月貿易休戰到期後重新實施出口管制。鉺廣泛用於光纖電纜、電信業及人工智慧資料中心建設,而中國主導了該金屬的全球生產。交易商和終端用戶正加緊囤貨,導致歐洲與中國的鉺價分別自六月以來上漲約五成和四成以上,其他受影響的稀土如鈥和鐿價格同樣大幅攀升。(關鍵數字:2026, 40, two months)

中國稀土出口管制的持續收緊,已對西方企業構成深遠影響。信評機構穆迪警告,中國的出口管制已「結構性改變」歐洲企業面臨的風險,汽車產業首當其衝,供應短缺可能導致生產延遲甚至停擺。此外,業界盛傳中國工程師已被禁止出境為西方磁鐵設施中的中國設備提供維護服務,進一步加劇供應鏈的脆弱性,促使以美國為首的西方國家加速開發替代供應來源。

在能源領域方面,GE Vernova日立與Blue Energy簽署協議,推進一項結合天然氣與核能的多十億美元發電項目,計劃於2030年前在德州維多利亞港部署約1吉瓦燃氣輪機,隨後自2032年起增加最多五座小型模組化反應爐,合計提供約1.5吉瓦核電。該模式聲稱可將成本削減五成,大幅加速部署時程,被視為改變小型模組化反應爐商業化進程的關鍵一步。此外,烏克蘭應美國副總統萬斯的要求暫停了對黑海油輪的無人機攻擊,而巴拿馬運河因霍爾木茲海峽關閉及聖嬰現象加劇,通行拍賣費用創下新高。



The price of erbium, a rare earth element critical to fibre optic cables, telecommunications, and AI data centre construction, has surged by roughly a third over the past two months. The spike is driven by fears that China may reimpose sweeping export controls when a one-year US-China trade truce expires in November 2026. European erbium prices have risen by half since early June, while Chinese prices have climbed over 40 per cent, as traders and end users rush to stockpile ahead of a potential supply cutoff.

China's dominance over rare earth production continues to pose structural risks for Western industries. Moody's has warned that Beijing's export controls have fundamentally altered the risk landscape for European companies, with the automotive sector most vulnerable to supply disruptions that could trigger production delays or shutdowns. Industry rumours also suggest that Chinese engineers are being barred from travelling abroad to service Chinese-made equipment in Western magnet facilities, compounding supply chain fragility and accelerating Western efforts to develop alternative sources of critical minerals.

In the energy sector, GE Vernova Hitachi and Blue Energy have partnered on a multibillion-dollar project that pairs natural gas turbines with small modular nuclear reactors at a Texas energy campus, aiming to deliver approximately 1 GW of gas power by 2030 and an additional 1.5 GW from up to five SMRs starting in 2032. The model promises cost reductions of 50 per cent or more compared with conventional large-scale nuclear construction. Separately, Ukraine suspended drone strikes on Black Sea oil tankers at the request of US Vice-President JD Vance, while Panama Canal transit auction fees hit record highs as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and an intensifying El Niño event disrupted global shipping routes.
2026-08-14 (Friday) · 1fe1625b994127f5c8a2940838253173caa2dcfe